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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs
81
3Cavaliers
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
36
33
24
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-10
60%
9-16
8-16
56%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
27
29
6
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
26
31
8
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
23
30
4
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-6
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
19
25
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
27
14
15
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
22
24
8
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
17
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
40%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
16
17
2
9
0
1
0
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
12
9
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
11
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
6
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
37
31
22
6
1
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
8-13
3-6
62%
49%
2-2
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.3
37
34
38
7
6
1
1
0
2
0
7
8-8
100%
12-16
7-13
75%
53%
2-5
40%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
36
29
8
10
2
0
0
1
2
1
9
2-2
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
35
33
22
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
4-6
67%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
24
12
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
4-6
67%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
26
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
22
15
7
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
13
16
0
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
6
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.