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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks33%101112
19Raptors67%106103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
34.1
31.1
17
54%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
33.2
33.4
14
55%
4
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
4-6
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.6
31.5
33.2
12
67%
2
5
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
29.7
32.2
12
60%
10
0
0
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
2-3
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
28.2
33.8
16
80%
10
4
0
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
8-10
7-12
80%
55%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.8
28.3
26.9
13
44%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.0
23.7
17.8
16
73%
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
4-7
57%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.2
16.5
11.6
5
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
14.7
16.4
7
64%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.3
6.2
0
1-2
54%
Joe Crawford
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
2.0
0
0-0
49%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
41.7
37.9
31
62%
14
0
1
1
2
3
3
11
5-5
100%
13-22
9-17
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
40.5
33.9
13
48%
8
1
3
1
3
2
3
5
0-1
0%
5-12
6-11
42%
55%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
38.8
33.2
18
54%
7
2
0
1
2
1
1
6
3-4
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
34.8
34.2
12
46%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-7
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
31.8
26.9
15
55%
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
13.3
13.0
7
54%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
12.3
9.0
0
0%
8
1
0
0
0
1
7
1
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
10.7
21.6
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
10.2
5.7
2
33%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
6.0
18.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-1
100%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
3.3
0
0-1
53%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.4
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.