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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Trail Blazers41%9188
7Rockets59%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
42.6
35.5
22
55%
9
2
0
1
3
2
2
7
8-11
73%
7-15
7-15
47%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
38.3
29.0
7
35%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
33.8
30.1
22
51%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.3
24.0
27.0
6
87%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.5
20.4
26.6
0
0%
8
1
0
0
1
2
4
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.5
28.1
22.0
15
58%
5
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
25.0
19.5
6
44%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
11.3
15.7
4
53%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
9.7
17.1
4
67%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
7.0
10.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
6.4
0
1-2
43%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
3.6
0
0-0
42%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.4
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
39.1
34.5
9
41%
5
4
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
51%
3-7
43%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.4
39.0
35.2
15
55%
3
4
1
2
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.6
36.3
36.3
21
71%
12
3
1
0
1
1
6
6
9-11
82%
6-10
7-14
60%
54%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
30.4
27.9
14
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
25.8
32.1
16
80%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
8-10
5-9
80%
54%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
25.2
11.2
9
57%
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-7
1-1
57%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
24.3
19.5
6
77%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
19.8
17.5
12
68%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.3
12.4
0
0-1
55%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.8
3.9
0
0-0
51%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.