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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets65%103110
28Timberwolves35%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
31.4
32.5
23
53%
8
4
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
9-19
8-16
47%
49%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
30.2
27.8
12
73%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-5
80%
4-6
5-8
67%
59%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
29.7
31.1
17
75%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
22.5
14.5
8
93%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
19.1
14.8
6
61%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
25.2
27.2
3
80%
8
0
1
1
2
0
3
5
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
56%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.3
21.9
18.1
14
71%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
3-4
75%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
20.2
27.2
12
51%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
3-9
33%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
18.5
18.2
7
72%
2
2
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
10.3
3.9
4
35%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-6
33%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
7.6
3.8
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.2
3.5
9.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.3
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
35.9
31.1
16
58%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
48%
2-8
25%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.6
30.7
33.1
13
35%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
30.4
33.6
7
39%
10
6
0
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-3
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
22.7
24.1
3
31%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
18.8
7.0
2
35%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
33.5
26.2
18
53%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
6-13
3-6
46%
43%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
29.2
13.1
14
54%
12
0
1
0
0
0
2
10
2-2
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
14.7
7.1
12
75%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
2-3
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.2
14.7
3.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
9.3
19.9
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.6
28.4
1
5-10
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
20.6
0
4-8
57%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.