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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pacers59%101117
26Thunder41%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.0
33.5
35.7
24
57%
4
1
1
1
1
4
0
4
6-7
86%
9-13
6-12
69%
48%
0-5
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
33.0
36.8
13
59%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
30.3
38.1
14
56%
4
4
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
30.2
31.0
22
100%
9
2
1
1
0
4
0
9
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
6-6
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
23.7
16.3
17
56%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
5-7
71%
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
24.3
30.0
12
61%
2
5
4
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
20.5
5.3
7
45%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
18.0
23.7
2
20%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
14.8
7.7
4
52%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
6.1
6.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
5.7
9.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.9
3.1
0
0-1
56%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.6
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
34.3
32.0
11
43%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
32.5
32.1
25
63%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
12-13
92%
5-13
7-14
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
24.2
30.0
11
47%
7
4
3
1
0
2
4
3
3-6
50%
4-8
5-12
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
20.0
29.8
3
26%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
17.4
19.8
2
8%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-13
4-7
8%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
30.4
22.3
15
63%
6
2
3
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
7-11
3-5
64%
55%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.6
27.4
15.0
10
71%
7
5
2
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
27.1
18.4
6
29%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
3-8
1-3
38%
53%
0-2
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
18.3
7.0
14
88%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-8
1-2
88%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.4
8.5
16.8
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
40%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.6
20.5
1
1-3
45%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.2
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.3
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.