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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors60%109105
30Kings40%106100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
48.0
36.8
20
40%
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
7-9
78%
2-14
4-8
14%
47%
3-7
43%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
48.0
35.5
30
53%
15
2
1
1
0
2
5
10
12-14
86%
6-18
5-9
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
45.0
33.9
18
64%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
4-8
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
30.2
29.4
8
29%
13
0
4
1
2
0
4
9
0-0
-
4-14
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
27.4
28.2
7
47%
4
1
0
1
3
1
2
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
33.5
22.5
18
71%
5
6
3
1
0
5
1
4
6-6
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
8.0
12.8
4
52%
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
25.3
1
7-12
53%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
17.2
1
3-4
61%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
7.5
0
1-2
51%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
7.4
0
1-3
56%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
41.6
34.9
10
45%
3
0
2
1
2
5
1
2
2-5
40%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
37.7
28.5
13
44%
15
3
0
1
4
2
4
11
2-4
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
36.6
32.4
16
71%
6
6
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
34.5
29.2
14
41%
11
2
0
1
2
2
3
8
4-7
57%
5-14
5-9
36%
53%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
11.2
30.7
5
36%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
5-10
33%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
29.6
21.7
17
64%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
24.6
9.1
11
79%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
21.6
22.7
14
45%
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
7-8
88%
2-9
3-6
22%
48%
1-3
33%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
2.7
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.