FinalWin Prob.pScore
1646%97
118
1854%98
110
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
132.68990.0
TOR logo TOR
123.68988.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL118
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)118
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORMISS Marion Driving Layup118
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)118
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)117
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0TORBargnani Dunk (15 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)116
99.6%
110
0.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)116
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)116
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot116
99.6%
108
0.4%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)116
99.1%
108
0.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)115
98.9%
108
1.1%
Q4 - 1:07ATLHawks Rebound114
98.4%
108
1.6%
Q4 - 1:08ATLMISS Murray 12' Pullup Jump Shot114
97.4%
108
2.6%
Q4 - 1:28TORParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)114
97.6%
108
2.4%
Q4 - 1:30TORRAPTORS Rebound114
98.5%
106
1.5%
Q4 - 1:31TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
98.9%
106
1.1%
Q4 - 1:37TORMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)114
98.1%
106
1.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Bibby 20' Pullup Jump Shot114
98.3%
106
1.7%
Q4 - 1:58TORBosh Driving Layup (21 PTS)114
98.6%
106
1.4%
Q4 - 2:15ATLSmith Driving Layup (23 PTS)114
99.1%
104
0.9%
Q4 - 2:38TORBosh 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)112
98.8%
104
1.2%
Q4 - 2:57ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bibby 10 AST)112
98.7%
102
1.3%
Q4 - 3:19TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)109
97.2%
102
2.8%
Q4 - 3:31ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)109
92.1%
102
7.9%
Q4 - 3:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)107
89.5%
102
10.5%
Q4 - 3:42ATLMISS Smith 13' Driving Hook Shot107
86.5%
102
13.5%
Q4 - 4:02TORMarion Layup (18 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)107
89.9%
102
10.1%
Q4 - 4:06TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
92.7%
100
7.3%
Q4 - 4:08ATLCalderon BLOCK (2 BLK)107
93.5%
100
6.5%
Q4 - 4:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)107
95.2%
100
4.8%
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 1107
94.9%
100
5.1%
Q4 - 4:46ATLEvans Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)107
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 4:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)105
95.2%
98
4.8%
Q4 - 4:51TORMISS Bargnani Running Layup105
94.6%
98
5.4%
Q4 - 5:04TORMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)105
89.9%
98
10.1%
Q4 - 5:05ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot105
90.9%
98
9.1%
Q4 - 5:23TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)105
92.8%
98
7.2%
Q4 - 5:31ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)105
90.1%
98
9.9%
Q4 - 5:31ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
89.4%
98
10.6%
Q4 - 5:35TORDouby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)103
86.9%
98
13.1%
Q4 - 5:46ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)103
82.4%
98
17.6%
Q4 - 6:07TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)101
74.6%
98
25.4%
Q4 - 6:29ATLSmith 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)101
84.3%
95
15.7%
Q4 - 6:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)98
74.8%
95
25.2%
Q4 - 6:45TORMISS Graham 7' Jump Hook Shot98
72.9%
95
27.1%
Q4 - 6:52TORO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
68.3%
95
31.7%
Q4 - 6:53ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot98
70.4%
95
29.6%
Q4 - 7:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
72.9%
95
27.1%
Q4 - 7:11TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot98
71.0%
95
29.0%
Q4 - 7:32ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)98
66.6%
95
33.4%
Q4 - 7:48TORDouby Layup (9 PTS)95
53.8%
95
46.2%
Q4 - 7:50TORDouby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)95
60.2%
93
39.8%
Q4 - 7:52TORMISS Douby 8' Running Jump Shot95
65.1%
93
34.9%
Q4 - 7:54TORDouby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
60.2%
93
39.8%
Q4 - 7:57TORMISS O'Bryant Layup95
65.1%
93
34.9%
Q4 - 8:03TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
59.8%
93
40.2%
Q4 - 8:04ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot95
61.6%
93
38.4%
Q4 - 8:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
65.6%
93
34.4%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS O'Bryant Free Throw 2 of 295
64.9%
93
35.1%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS O'Bryant Free Throw 1 of 295
61.3%
93
38.7%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)95
59.8%
93
40.2%
Q4 - 9:01TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
46.9%
93
53.1%
Q4 - 9:01TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
47.8%
92
52.2%
Q4 - 9:19ATLMurray Driving Layup (9 PTS)92
53.2%
91
46.8%
Q4 - 9:32TORDouby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)90
46.9%
91
53.1%
Q4 - 9:46TORO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
41.2%
91
58.8%
Q4 - 9:47ATLMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot90
42.9%
91
57.1%
Q4 - 10:12TORBosh 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (O'Bryant 1 AST)90
46.9%
91
53.1%
Q4 - 10:14TORO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
52.6%
89
47.4%
Q4 - 10:15TORMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
56.5%
89
43.5%
Q4 - 10:39ATLMurray 8' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)90
52.7%
89
47.3%
Q4 - 10:58TORDouby 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)88
46.9%
89
53.1%
Q4 - 11:13ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
57.7%
86
42.3%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 287
56.5%
86
43.5%
Q4 - 11:29TORDouby 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
57.4%
86
42.6%
Q4 - 11:46ATLMurray 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)87
62.9%
84
37.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL85
57.4%
84
42.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound85
57.4%
84
42.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 57' 3PT Running Jump Shot85
54.0%
84
46.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMarion Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)85
57.4%
84
42.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLSmith 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)85
52.1%
84
47.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORO'Bryant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Douby 2 AST)82
41.4%
84
58.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)82
47.1%
82
52.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
36.6%
82
63.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot79
33.7%
82
66.3%
Q3 - 1:04TORMarion 10' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Douby 1 AST)79
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q3 - 1:21ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
41.8%
80
58.2%
Q3 - 1:21ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
40.9%
80
59.1%
Q3 - 1:28TORDouby 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q3 - 1:45ATLPachulia Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)77
41.8%
78
58.2%
Q3 - 2:05TORO'Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
37.2%
78
62.8%
Q3 - 2:05TORO'Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
38.4%
77
61.6%
Q3 - 2:05TORRAPTORS Rebound75
41.7%
76
58.3%
Q3 - 2:05ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.1%
76
56.9%
Q3 - 2:29TORMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
46.3%
76
53.7%
Q3 - 2:29TORMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
47.2%
75
52.8%
Q3 - 2:31TORMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
51.0%
74
49.0%
Q3 - 2:32TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot75
54.2%
74
45.8%
Q3 - 2:52ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
51.0%
74
49.0%
Q3 - 3:08TORMarion Running Layup (12 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)73
46.5%
74
53.5%
Q3 - 3:14ATLJohnson 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
50.7%
72
49.3%
Q3 - 3:34TORParker 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)71
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q3 - 3:50ATLEvans Driving Layup (12 PTS)71
50.7%
70
49.3%
Q3 - 3:54TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)69
46.5%
70
53.5%
Q3 - 4:06TORMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
41.5%
70
58.5%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
43.1%
70
56.9%
Q3 - 4:29TORCalderon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 4:40TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
54.6%
67
45.4%
Q3 - 4:41ATLCalderon BLOCK (1 BLK)69
56.1%
67
43.9%
Q3 - 4:58TORParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
59.6%
67
40.4%
Q3 - 5:13ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)69
62.1%
65
37.9%
Q3 - 5:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
58.6%
65
41.4%
Q3 - 5:36TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
57.2%
65
42.8%
Q3 - 6:06ATLEvans Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)67
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q3 - 6:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q3 - 6:12TORMISS Parker Driving Reverse Layup65
48.7%
65
51.3%
Q3 - 6:18TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q3 - 6:20ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
47.0%
65
53.0%
Q3 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q3 - 6:31TORMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot65
48.7%
65
51.3%
Q3 - 6:58ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)65
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q3 - 7:05ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
36.9%
65
63.1%
Q3 - 7:34ATLBibby 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q3 - 7:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 7:40ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot60
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 7:52TORMarion 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 8:15ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)60
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 8:27ATLHawks Rebound57
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 8:27ATLBargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)57
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 8:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot57
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 8:37ATLBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)57
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 8:54TORMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 8:54TORMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
28.8%
62
71.2%
Q3 - 9:00TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 9:01ATLMISS Horford 19' Turnaround Jump Shot57
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 9:23TORBargnani Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)57
34.8%
61
65.2%
Q3 - 9:39TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 9:41ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)57
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 10:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 10:01TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot57
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 10:16TORMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot57
39.4%
59
60.6%
Q3 - 10:26ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 10:28TORMISS Bargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot57
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 10:48ATLBibby Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)57
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 10:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
35.1%
59
64.9%
Q3 - 10:57TORMISS Bargnani 20' Pullup Jump Shot55
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q3 - 11:04TORRAPTORS Rebound55
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 11:05TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot55
34.5%
59
65.5%
Q3 - 11:20ATLHorford 7' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)55
32.2%
59
67.8%
Q3 - 11:38TORBosh Running Layup (15 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)53
29.5%
59
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL53
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound53
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot53
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORMISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot53
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLEvans Layup (8 PTS)53
33.1%
57
66.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Murray Layup51
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0TORMISS Ukic Driving Layup51
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMurray 15' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q2 - 1:12TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ukic 1 AST)49
24.7%
57
75.3%
Q2 - 1:25ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 1:25ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 248
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q2 - 1:30TORUkic 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)48
27.2%
55
72.8%
Q2 - 1:49TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 1:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 248
30.9%
53
69.1%
Q2 - 1:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q2 - 1:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
29.9%
53
70.1%
Q2 - 1:51TORMISS Marion Layup47
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q2 - 2:18ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)47
27.9%
53
72.1%
Q2 - 2:27ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q2 - 2:28ATLMISS Murray 30' 3PT Jump Shot44
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q2 - 2:54TORMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q2 - 2:54TORMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
23.5%
52
76.5%
Q2 - 3:10ATLPachulia Putback Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)44
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 3:13ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q2 - 3:14ATLMISS Bibby 19' Fadeaway Jumper42
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q2 - 3:29TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q2 - 3:29TORMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 242
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound42
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 3:29TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
25.1%
50
74.9%
Q2 - 3:52ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 3:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q2 - 3:52ATLGraham BLOCK (1 BLK)42
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q2 - 3:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q2 - 3:55ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup42
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q2 - 4:13TORMensah-Bonsu Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)42
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q2 - 4:36ATLSmith Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)42
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 4:40TORMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)40
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q2 - 4:47ATLCalderon STEAL (3 STL)40
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 4:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q2 - 4:56TORMISS Graham 11' Fadeaway Jumper40
27.8%
47
72.2%
Q2 - 5:23ATLHorford Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 5:38TORMensah-Bonsu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 5:38TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Free Throw 1 of 238
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 5:39TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 5:40TORMISS Calderon 12' Pullup Jump Shot38
25.9%
46
74.1%
Q2 - 6:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot38
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 6:33TORKapono 16' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)38
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 6:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
29.2%
44
70.8%
Q2 - 6:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 237
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 6:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 6:57TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Driving Dunk37
28.7%
44
71.3%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
27.3%
44
72.7%
Q2 - 7:22TORKapono 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)37
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 7:27TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)37
32.0%
42
68.0%
Q2 - 7:34ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
34.5%
41
65.5%
Q2 - 7:34ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
33.9%
41
66.1%
Q2 - 7:39TORKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 7:54ATLJohnson 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)35
29.6%
41
70.4%
Q2 - 8:14TORBosh Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)33
27.8%
41
72.2%
Q2 - 8:20TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 8:20ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 8:37TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)33
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 8:49ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
34.9%
37
65.1%
Q2 - 8:49ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
34.1%
37
65.9%
Q2 - 8:59TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)31
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 9:12ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
34.8%
35
65.2%
Q2 - 9:12ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 9:12ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)29
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 9:16ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 9:18TORMISS Calderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot28
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 9:33TORO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot28
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 9:52TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 10:04ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T3)28
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 10:22TORCalderon Driving Layup (12 PTS)28
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 10:38TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 10:40ATLMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 10:59TORGraham Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)28
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 11:12ATLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 11:36TORGraham 14' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR26
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound26
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Kapono 11' Jump Shot26
34.6%
31
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORUkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ukic 14' Running Jump Shot26
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORBosh Running Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)26
35.2%
31
64.8%
Q1 - 1:00TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q1 - 1:01ATLMISS Pachulia Driving Layup26
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q1 - 1:19TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q1 - 1:35TORUkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 1:36ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot26
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q1 - 1:50TORUkic Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)26
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q1 - 2:11ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)26
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q1 - 2:17ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)24
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q1 - 2:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.3%
26
59.7%
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Bosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper23
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q1 - 2:53ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q1 - 3:12TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)21
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 3:25ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q1 - 3:25ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 220
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 3:38ATLHawks Rebound20
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q1 - 3:38TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot20
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q1 - 3:57ATLSmith 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)20
38.4%
23
61.6%
Q1 - 4:17TORCalderon 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
36.4%
23
63.6%
Q1 - 4:35ATLSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)18
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 4:44TORMarion Running Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 4:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)16
40.5%
18
59.5%
Q1 - 4:57TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot16
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 5:05ATLCalderon STEAL (2 STL)16
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 5:09ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 5:11TORMISS Calderon 23' Jump Shot16
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 5:28ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)16
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 5:45TORBosh Putback Dunk (4 PTS)14
38.6%
18
61.4%
Q1 - 5:47TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 5:48TORMISS Bargnani Driving Layup14
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 6:02ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 6:20TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)11
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 6:26TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot11
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 6:45TORMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 6:45TORMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 6:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 6:52ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 7:02ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:04TORMISS Bosh Reverse Layup11
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 7:18ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)11
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 7:42TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 7:52ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 7:52ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
41.9%
9
58.1%
Q1 - 8:07TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 8:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Johnson Driving Reverse Layup6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:22ATLHawks Rebound6
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:23ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 8:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:36TORMISS Parker 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot6
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 9:01ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:10TORMISS Marion 10' Turnaround Hook Shot4
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 9:21ATLJohnson 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 9:43TORParker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:47ATLCalderon STEAL (1 STL)2
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 10:00ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:01TORMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot2
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 10:22ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 10:36TORCalderon 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 11' Fadeaway Jumper0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:19TORCalderon 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 11:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:36ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:39ATLMISS Johnson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.6%
TOR
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
23
70%
TOR
14
23
61%
Midrange
ATL
15
38
39%
TOR
23
44
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
TOR
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
ATL
23
28
82%
TOR
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2566%12.5 / 19
J. Johnson2554%12.5 / 23
M. Evans1794%8.5 / 9
A. Horford1568%7.5 / 11
M. Bibby1346%6.5 / 14
R. Murray1246%6.0 / 13
Z. Pachulia1179%5.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2188%10.5 / 12
S. Marion1864%9.0 / 14
J. Calderon1673%8.0 / 11
A. Bargnani1554%7.5 / 14
Q. Douby990%4.5 / 5
A. Parker840%4.0 / 10
J. Kapono867%4.0 / 6
J. Graham542%2.5 / 6
P. O'Bryant450%2.0 / 4
P. Mensah-Bonsu450%2.0 / 4
R. Ukic233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+16
-7
98
TOR
78
+12
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.19 59.6%
TOR
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
106.3
ATL 132.6 +9.0
TOR 123.6
Pace
89.8
92.6
ATL 90.0 +2.0
TOR 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.4
ATL 16.0 +0.4
TOR 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
49.4%
ATL 57.2%
TOR 57.5% +0.3%
TO %
13.6%
13.8%
ATL 6.8% +4.1%
TOR 10.9%
ORB %
26.0%
24.1%
ATL 30.6% +7.1%
TOR 23.5%
FTrt
32.3
27.9
ATL 33.7 +4.9
TOR 28.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
60.1%
ATL 57.1%
TOR 62.8% +5.7%
STL %
8.2%
6.8%
ATL 7.9% +3.4%
TOR 4.5%
BLK %
7.4%
7.6%
ATL 6.0%
TOR 11.5% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
52.7%
ATL 59.6%
TOR 61.1% +1.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
57.9%
ATL 69.6% +8.7%
TOR 60.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.3%
ATL 39.5%
TOR 52.3% +12.8%
3P %
36.6%
37.2%
ATL 50.0% +3.8%
TOR 46.2%
FT %
73.8%
82.4%
ATL 82.1% +3.8%
TOR 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
28.4%
ATL 27.7%
TOR 28.7% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
52.3%
ATL 45.8% +9.2%
TOR 55.0%
3P Att. %
25.3%
19.3%
ATL 26.5% +10.3%
TOR 16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsATLTOR
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points118110
Rebounds3733
Assists2427
Steals74
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)25 (1)
Field Goals42-8343-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2314-23
Midrange FG15-3823-44
2-Point FG31-6137-67
3-Point FG11-226-13
Free Throws23-2818-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
46.6
25
66%
7
2
0
2
3
2
2
5
6-8
75%
5-10
50%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
39.5
25
54%
6
6
2
1
2
3
3
3
4-4
100%
6-17
35%
3-5
60%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
35.9
17
94%
4
1
1
0
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
34.1
13
46%
6
10
1
0
1
3
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
32.3
15
68%
12
1
1
1
0
3
1
11
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
28.4
12
46%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
16.4
11
79%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
60%
37
24
7
4
7
0
11
26
23-28
82%
31-61
51%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.