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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks32%102103
14Bulls68%108110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
41.9
31.5
26
87%
5
3
2
1
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
4-4
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
33.8
30.6
23
72%
8
1
0
1
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
3-4
75%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
32.9
31.1
17
58%
13
6
1
1
2
4
3
10
5-6
83%
6-12
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.6
27.5
31.7
2
25%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
21.4
32.3
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.0
24.5
20.1
17
71%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
42%
3-7
43%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.9
23.4
27.1
6
33%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
4-9
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.2
19.6
14.1
6
44%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
15.1
15.7
6
53%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-6
33%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.3
5.7
0
1-2
53%
Joe Crawford
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.6
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
41.6
31.4
19
52%
6
6
5
1
0
1
0
6
3-5
60%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
38.3
33.5
18
47%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-5
80%
7-17
7-13
41%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
36.7
37.1
17
52%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-3
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
35.0
28.9
18
63%
6
2
2
1
4
3
2
4
4-5
80%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
22.7
27.7
4
69%
9
1
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
33.7
27.7
25
70%
3
2
3
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
3-6
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
23.4
28.3
6
26%
12
4
0
1
0
0
6
6
4-4
100%
1-10
4-8
10%
51%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
6.0
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.5
2.7
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
15.5
0
1-3
48%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.