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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers79%106122
29Kings21%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
37.3
36.4
26
70%
12
0
0
1
0
2
3
9
4-6
67%
11-16
8-13
69%
58%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
30.6
32.7
15
90%
11
0
0
1
1
2
1
10
3-3
100%
6-7
5-9
86%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
30.5
34.6
22
56%
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
5-8
63%
7-11
8-14
64%
52%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
21.5
26.9
14
50%
3
0
2
2
1
0
3
0
2-2
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.7
21.5
25.2
3
25%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
23.5
17.9
11
83%
3
9
1
1
0
0
2
1
5-6
83%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
20.6
14.0
6
60%
8
2
0
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
17.5
15.8
12
76%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
15.4
19.1
4
23%
3
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
11.1
4.6
9
64%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
7.5
9.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
3.0
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
41.9
23.0
21
58%
15
3
1
0
2
3
3
12
0-0
-
9-15
4-7
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
39.6
36.5
19
74%
3
3
0
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
3-7
43%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
36.2
30.4
18
65%
11
1
1
1
2
2
6
5
2-4
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.4
34.5
31.0
10
38%
6
3
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
2-6
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
31.4
33.2
14
55%
4
6
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
21.9
15.2
10
38%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
1-7
14%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
18.5
24.5
4
22%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
10.1
21.9
4
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
3.0
3.7
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
3.0
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.