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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Wizards16%8886
1Cavaliers84%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.1
31.3
35.7
10
41%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
6-7
86%
2-8
6-12
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.3
29.6
28.4
11
49%
4
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
2-3
67%
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
27.6
35.0
7
53%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-6
50%
2-4
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.4
22.4
27.2
6
38%
7
0
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
17.5
32.9
2
33%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
34.4
17.0
16
50%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
2-5
45%
45%
2-5
40%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
27.0
19.6
14
65%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
2-4
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.5
18.4
11.3
5
63%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
13.6
8.7
6
80%
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
10.0
14.5
7
79%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
8.1
4.1
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
14.9
1
2-4
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.8
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
35.0
32.4
13
42%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-12
4-7
42%
52%
0-2
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.3
30.9
34.6
21
57%
6
7
3
2
0
2
0
6
7-8
88%
7-13
8-14
54%
56%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
30.0
33.0
14
58%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
24.9
29.3
10
71%
7
0
2
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
20.7
30.9
7
45%
13
2
0
1
1
2
6
7
3-4
75%
2-6
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
27.1
20.7
10
63%
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
24.5
17.5
7
44%
5
0
0
0
3
1
3
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
17.9
18.5
7
72%
6
2
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
16.3
15.1
4
29%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
51%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
5.2
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
4.8
11.0
5
43%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
2.8
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.