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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors36%100101
18Pacers64%105130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
29.5
29.0
11
47%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
27.6
37.7
21
64%
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-3
100%
9-14
8-17
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
24.6
33.6
4
22%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
54%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
23.8
35.0
4
25%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
6-11
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
20.4
8.9
16
73%
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
8-11
1-2
73%
50%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
23.4
10.5
7
30%
1
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
5-8
63%
1-7
2-3
14%
46%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
22.9
16.4
14
54%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
8-9
89%
3-9
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
21.9
8.6
8
67%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
21.6
9.3
8
31%
5
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
2-4
50%
3-11
1-3
27%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
19.2
16.1
8
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
5.2
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
31.9
1
5-10
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.4
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
31.9
33.8
23
93%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
7-8
5-9
88%
51%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.0
27.7
33.9
29
73%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
9-9
100%
10-13
6-12
77%
50%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
26.4
19.4
17
69%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
7-10
70%
5-8
4-8
63%
53%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
25.6
30.2
14
62%
14
5
1
1
1
1
5
9
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
25.3
34.2
5
25%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
1-5
20%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
24.9
12.4
8
40%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
22.4
11.1
12
68%
11
1
1
0
2
1
2
9
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
53%
0-1
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
20.7
27.1
14
70%
3
11
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
14.4
21.6
4
50%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
13.4
7.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.9
7.1
3.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
58%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.9
8.2
0
1-3
54%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.6
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.