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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Trail Blazers46%9295
11Spurs54%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
39.2
37.7
20
77%
6
2
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
10-13
8-16
77%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
38.3
33.5
26
58%
3
6
0
1
1
6
0
3
8-8
100%
9-16
6-12
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
35.9
32.9
11
46%
5
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
3-6
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.5
26.1
21.7
3
39%
17
0
0
0
0
1
5
12
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.3
17.9
22.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.6
26.2
26.2
12
55%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
25.8
20.3
9
64%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
21.6
18.1
8
74%
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-1
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
9.1
13.8
6
75%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
8.5
0
1-3
46%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
39.1
25.2
18
55%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
33.3
33.9
17
55%
5
7
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
8-15
8-16
53%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
32.1
28.2
11
61%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
23.9
29.5
4
25%
5
1
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
6-12
25%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
20.1
20.6
7
88%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
23.9
18.2
3
26%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
19.5
22.6
9
46%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
18.3
16.3
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
17.3
17.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
8.3
6.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
3.2
10.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
1.1
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.