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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets72%102115
26Kings28%9598
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.4
36.8
37.6
26
67%
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
48%
3-5
60%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
35.7
32.9
12
67%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
4-7
57%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
34.5
28.2
15
55%
8
2
3
1
1
2
6
2
5-6
83%
5-11
5-9
45%
56%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.6
33.4
36.0
20
59%
9
3
0
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
10-17
8-14
59%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
27.3
26.7
10
50%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
22.5
19.7
13
65%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
21.7
22.3
8
68%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.6
18.5
20.5
6
75%
6
1
0
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
59%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
8.6
11.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
1.0
2.5
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.3
5.9
0
0-0
57%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.8
5.8
0
0-1
53%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
43.5
29.9
22
62%
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
0-2
0%
8-13
5-9
62%
49%
2-4
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
40.3
36.7
17
58%
3
4
2
1
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
3-5
60%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.4
34.9
31.5
17
65%
6
4
0
1
1
4
1
5
6-7
86%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
32.6
31.8
16
50%
10
3
0
1
0
1
8
2
2-2
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
31.8
31.7
12
50%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
23.2
17.7
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
17.4
17.2
5
36%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
16.3
21.9
7
51%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
38.5
1
4-10
47%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
3.9
0
1-1
45%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
2.9
0
0-0
44%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.