FinalWin Prob.pScore
1836%97
118
1364%102
122
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
121.697104.9
ATL logo ATL
123.29992.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL118
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)118
0.5%
122
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot118
0.5%
122
99.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)118
2.7%
122
97.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 2118
3.3%
121
96.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDJack 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)118
2.8%
121
97.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)115
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Johnson 34' 3PT Jump Shot115
0.6%
121
99.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)115
0.8%
121
99.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
1.4%
121
98.6%
Q4 - 1:13INDJack 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)115
1.9%
121
98.1%
Q4 - 1:17INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)113
1.2%
121
98.8%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2113
1.1%
121
98.9%
Q4 - 1:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)113
0.8%
121
99.2%
Q4 - 1:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)113
1.2%
120
98.8%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot113
1.8%
120
98.2%
Q4 - 1:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)113
1.8%
120
98.2%
Q4 - 1:42INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
2.2%
120
97.8%
Q4 - 1:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)113
3.4%
120
96.6%
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2113
3.9%
119
96.1%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)113
3.1%
119
96.9%
Q4 - 2:11INDMISS Ford Running Layup113
3.8%
119
96.2%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)113
6.0%
119
94.0%
Q4 - 2:36INDGranger Free Throw 3 of 3 (35 PTS)113
3.1%
119
96.9%
Q4 - 2:36INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 3 (34 PTS)112
2.9%
119
97.1%
Q4 - 2:36INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 3 (33 PTS)111
2.7%
119
97.3%
Q4 - 2:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)110
1.4%
119
98.6%
Q4 - 2:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)110
1.6%
118
98.4%
Q4 - 3:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)110
2.6%
117
97.4%
Q4 - 3:14ATLBibby 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)106
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 3:34INDJack 29' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)106
2.3%
115
97.7%
Q4 - 3:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)103
1.1%
115
98.9%
Q4 - 3:39INDMISS Granger 28' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 3:49ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
1.0%
115
99.0%
Q4 - 3:49ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)103
1.1%
114
98.9%
Q4 - 4:10INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)103
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 4:10INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)102
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 4:24ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)101
1.0%
113
99.0%
Q4 - 4:49INDFord Driving Layup (10 PTS)101
2.0%
110
98.0%
Q4 - 4:59ATLSmith Dunk (26 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)99
1.4%
110
98.6%
Q4 - 5:19INDMurphy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)99
3.2%
108
96.8%
Q4 - 5:28ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 5:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 5:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 5:43INDSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)96
2.5%
106
97.5%
Q4 - 5:54ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)96
3.1%
106
96.9%
Q4 - 6:00INDHorford STEAL (2 STL)96
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 6:24ATLSmith Running Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)96
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 6:42INDJack 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)96
5.6%
104
94.4%
Q4 - 6:51ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)94
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 7:16INDGranger 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
8.5%
101
91.5%
Q4 - 7:32ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)92
6.7%
101
93.3%
Q4 - 7:37INDHorford STEAL (1 STL)92
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 7:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 7:53ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 8:12ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 8:13INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
6.5%
101
93.5%
Q4 - 8:33ATLHorford 6' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)92
7.6%
101
92.4%
Q4 - 8:50INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
9.7%
99
90.3%
Q4 - 8:50INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 291
9.0%
99
91.0%
Q4 - 9:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
10.9%
99
89.1%
Q4 - 9:07ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 291
10.6%
99
89.4%
Q4 - 9:07ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)91
9.3%
99
90.7%
Q4 - 9:08ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
11.0%
98
89.0%
Q4 - 9:11ATLMISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper91
12.7%
98
87.3%
Q4 - 9:33INDMurphy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)91
10.9%
98
89.1%
Q4 - 9:46ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)88
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 9:59ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)88
10.9%
95
89.1%
Q4 - 10:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
14.4%
94
85.6%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
15.2%
94
84.8%
Q4 - 10:26ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
17.3%
94
82.7%
Q4 - 10:26ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
18.1%
93
81.9%
Q4 - 10:33INDJones STEAL (1 STL)88
20.8%
92
79.2%
Q4 - 10:40INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
24.8%
92
75.2%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot88
23.5%
92
76.5%
Q4 - 10:59INDRush 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)88
20.8%
92
79.2%
Q4 - 11:11ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
18.0%
92
82.0%
Q4 - 11:30INDGranger 12' Jump Shot (26 PTS)86
21.6%
90
78.4%
Q4 - 11:46ATLJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)84
18.0%
90
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND84
15.2%
90
84.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound84
18.0%
90
82.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ford 40' 3PT Jump Shot84
16.0%
90
84.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)84
18.6%
90
81.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
22.3%
88
77.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDPacers Rebound82
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)82
16.8%
88
83.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)82
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
22.3%
86
77.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)82
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
25.5%
86
74.5%
Q3 - 1:00ATLMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Hook Shot82
24.5%
86
75.5%
Q3 - 1:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
22.4%
86
77.6%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 282
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q3 - 1:18INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
25.6%
86
74.4%
Q3 - 1:25ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)81
22.1%
86
77.9%
Q3 - 1:40INDGranger 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)81
19.2%
86
80.8%
Q3 - 1:49ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
16.1%
86
83.9%
Q3 - 1:49ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q3 - 2:12INDGranger 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)79
19.5%
84
80.5%
Q3 - 2:30ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)76
14.3%
84
85.7%
Q3 - 2:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)76
19.5%
81
80.5%
Q3 - 2:34ATLMISS Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot76
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 2:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
19.5%
81
80.5%
Q3 - 2:40ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot76
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 3:00INDGranger 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)76
19.5%
81
80.5%
Q3 - 3:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)74
17.3%
81
82.7%
Q3 - 3:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)74
22.8%
78
77.2%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot74
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q3 - 3:48ATLMurray Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)74
26.3%
78
73.7%
Q3 - 3:53INDSmith STEAL (3 STL)74
29.7%
76
70.3%
Q3 - 4:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q3 - 4:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q3 - 4:22ATLHAWKS Rebound74
37.4%
74
62.6%
Q3 - 4:22INDMISS Jack 3' Driving Layup74
38.8%
74
61.2%
Q3 - 4:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
42.2%
74
57.8%
Q3 - 4:28INDMISS Murphy 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
38.8%
74
61.2%
Q3 - 4:35INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
42.2%
74
57.8%
Q3 - 4:36ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q3 - 4:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
37.4%
74
62.6%
Q3 - 4:58INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
38.8%
74
61.2%
Q3 - 5:17ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)74
41.4%
74
58.6%
Q3 - 5:20ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
45.0%
72
55.0%
Q3 - 5:22INDMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot74
46.4%
72
53.6%
Q3 - 5:24INDPacers Rebound74
49.7%
72
50.3%
Q3 - 5:24INDWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)74
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q3 - 5:44INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
49.8%
72
50.2%
Q3 - 5:46ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot74
48.3%
72
51.7%
Q3 - 6:00INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)74
45.1%
72
54.9%
Q3 - 6:13ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)74
48.9%
72
51.1%
Q3 - 6:26INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)74
56.6%
69
43.4%
Q3 - 6:52ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)74
60.8%
69
39.2%
Q3 - 7:04INDJack 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)74
62.7%
67
37.3%
Q3 - 7:09INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
59.2%
67
40.8%
Q3 - 7:11INDHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)72
56.5%
67
43.5%
Q3 - 7:34ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)72
59.3%
67
40.7%
Q3 - 7:49INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
62.9%
65
37.1%
Q3 - 7:49INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
61.9%
65
38.1%
Q3 - 7:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
59.4%
65
40.6%
Q3 - 7:53ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot70
58.2%
65
41.8%
Q3 - 8:14INDMurphy 5' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)70
54.6%
65
45.4%
Q3 - 8:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 8:24ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot68
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 8:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 8:35INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 268
47.6%
65
52.4%
Q3 - 8:35INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 268
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 8:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 8:40ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot68
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 9:03INDRush 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)68
46.8%
65
53.2%
Q3 - 9:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
43.2%
65
56.8%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot66
42.1%
65
57.9%
Q3 - 9:41INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q3 - 9:41INDHibbert Tip Shot (15 PTS)66
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q3 - 9:44INDMISS Hibbert Putback Dunk64
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q3 - 9:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 9:47INDMISS Jack 9' Jump Shot64
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q3 - 10:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Hibbert: Tip to Granger64
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 10:00ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot64
35.1%
65
64.9%
Q3 - 10:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 10:07INDMISS Jack 2' Layup64
33.6%
65
66.4%
Q3 - 10:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
35.9%
65
64.1%
Q3 - 10:16ATLMISS West 22' Jump Shot64
34.9%
65
65.1%
Q3 - 10:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)64
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 10:28INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
33.6%
65
66.4%
Q3 - 10:38ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
35.9%
65
64.1%
Q3 - 11:05INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)64
42.2%
62
57.8%
Q3 - 11:18ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)62
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 11:40INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
35.6%
62
64.4%
Q3 - 11:40INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND60
32.7%
62
67.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLBibby 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)60
32.7%
62
67.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDBibby STEAL (1 STL)60
36.1%
60
63.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)60
36.1%
60
63.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.8%
60
63.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLJones 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)60
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q2 - 1:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q2 - 1:14INDMISS Jack 20' Jump Shot60
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q2 - 1:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
43.9%
58
56.1%
Q2 - 1:38INDMurphy Driving Dunk (13 PTS)60
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q2 - 1:52ATLMurray 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
38.3%
58
61.7%
Q2 - 2:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q2 - 2:05INDMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot58
42.3%
56
57.7%
Q2 - 2:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
44.5%
56
55.5%
Q2 - 2:17ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 258
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q2 - 2:25INDSmith STEAL (2 STL)58
44.5%
55
55.5%
Q2 - 2:32ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)58
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
44.5%
55
55.5%
Q2 - 2:40INDMISS Hibbert 6' Turnaround Jump Shot58
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q2 - 2:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q2 - 2:56ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 258
47.3%
55
52.7%
Q2 - 2:56ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q2 - 2:56ATLHAWKS Rebound58
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q2 - 2:58ATLMISS Murray 3' Running Layup58
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 3:05INDMISS Jack 2' Running Layup58
48.0%
54
52.0%
Q2 - 3:12ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)58
50.6%
54
49.4%
Q2 - 3:34INDFord 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q2 - 3:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q2 - 3:43ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot56
49.5%
52
50.5%
Q2 - 4:06INDMurphy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)56
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q2 - 4:19INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
40.7%
52
59.3%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot53
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q2 - 4:34INDHibbert 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)53
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 4:48ATLHorford Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)51
35.0%
52
65.0%
Q2 - 4:51INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)51
37.6%
50
62.4%
Q2 - 5:07INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q2 - 5:09ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 251
40.1%
50
59.9%
Q2 - 5:09ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
38.5%
50
61.5%
Q2 - 5:09INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)51
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
43.3%
49
56.7%
Q2 - 5:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 251
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q2 - 5:29INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)51
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q2 - 5:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
46.3%
48
53.7%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Jump Shot51
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q2 - 6:00INDFord 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 149
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith Tip Shot (11 PTS)49
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 6:11ATLMISS Smith Layup49
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q2 - 6:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot49
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q2 - 6:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q2 - 6:23INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
43.8%
46
56.2%
Q2 - 6:37ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)49
46.1%
46
53.9%
Q2 - 6:57INDFord 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
51.5%
43
48.5%
Q2 - 7:00INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot47
47.4%
43
52.6%
Q2 - 7:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 7:21INDMISS Rush 10' Running Jump Shot47
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 7:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 7:33ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup47
47.5%
43
52.5%
Q2 - 7:45ATLHAWKS Rebound47
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 7:45ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup47
47.5%
43
52.5%
Q2 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 7:57INDMISS Graham 13' Jump Shot47
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 8:02INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 8:05ATLMISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot47
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 8:26INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 8:26INDRush Tip Shot (4 PTS)47
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 8:29INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot45
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q2 - 8:35ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 8:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 8:49INDMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot45
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 9:12ATLHorford Dunk (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)45
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 9:18INDGraham Putback Layup (5 PTS)45
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 9:20INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 9:22INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 9:36ATLSmith 5' Running Layup (9 PTS)43
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 9:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 143
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 9:44INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)43
44.4%
39
55.6%
Q2 - 9:54ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)40
39.2%
39
60.8%
Q2 - 10:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 10:07INDMISS Granger 11' Fadeaway Jumper40
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 10:25ATLWest Foul Turnover (P2.T5)40
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 10:32ATLMurray Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)40
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 10:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
44.1%
36
55.9%
Q2 - 10:43INDMISS Foster 13' Jump Bank Shot40
45.0%
36
55.0%
Q2 - 11:04INDGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
46.4%
36
53.6%
Q2 - 11:06ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot40
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 11:22INDFoster 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)40
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 11:36ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)38
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 11:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 11:49INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 138
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL36
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMurphy Putback Layup (8 PTS)36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Foster Tip Shot34
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ford 19' Fadeaway Jumper34
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDFord 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)34
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
32.0%
33
68.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDWest STEAL (1 STL)32
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q1 - 1:01ATLMurray 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q1 - 1:15INDGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q1 - 1:19ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)29
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q1 - 1:40INDJack 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)29
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q1 - 2:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q1 - 2:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMISS Murray Free Throw Technical26
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q1 - 2:19INDMurphy 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q1 - 2:32ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q1 - 2:32ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 2:52INDRush 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)24
30.1%
26
69.9%
Q1 - 3:03INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q1 - 3:04ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot22
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 3:16INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q1 - 3:16INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q1 - 3:30ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q1 - 3:43INDHibbert Dunk (9 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)20
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 3:49ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
26.2%
23
73.8%
Q1 - 4:06INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 4:06INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 4:20ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 4:37INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
24.4%
21
75.6%
Q1 - 4:37INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 4:57ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)14
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 5:17INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 5:17INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 5:48INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)12
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 6:01ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 6:01ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 6:13INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 6:18INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 6:23ATLMISS Horford Dunk10
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 6:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 6:32INDMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot10
25.0%
15
75.0%
Q1 - 6:50ATLWest Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 6:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 7:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 7:07INDMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot10
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 7:28ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 7:36INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)10
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:47ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 7:52INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
33.6%
7
66.4%
Q1 - 8:00INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:02ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 8:29INDJack 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
32.9%
7
67.1%
Q1 - 8:40ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 8:57INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:57INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot5
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 8:58INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup5
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 9:19ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 9:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot5
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 9:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 9:49ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot5
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 10:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 10:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:10ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 10:25ATLHAWKS Rebound3
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 10:25INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 10:25INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot3
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:25INDMISS Granger 4' Running Jump Shot3
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:42ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:00ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot3
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:16INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:17ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot3
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:35INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:48INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:50ATLMISS Smith Layup0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Hibbert: Tip to Horford0
32.6%
0
67.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 57.8%
ATL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
30
50%
ATL
19
27
70%
Midrange
IND
17
34
50%
ATL
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
ATL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
24
29
83%
ATL
34
45
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3567%17.5 / 26
T. Murphy2181%10.5 / 13
J. Jack1750%8.5 / 17
R. Hibbert1647%8.0 / 17
T. Ford1260%6.0 / 10
B. Rush1063%5.0 / 8
S. Graham583%2.5 / 3
J. Foster225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3056%15.0 / 27
J. Johnson2475%12.0 / 16
A. Horford2273%11.0 / 15
M. Bibby1554%7.5 / 14
R. Murray1563%7.5 / 12
S. Jones788%3.5 / 4
M. Williams550%2.5 / 5
M. West250%1.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+15
-13
99
ATL
85
+11
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 57.8%
ATL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.2
IND 121.6
ATL 123.2 +1.6
Pace
96.5
89.8
IND 104.9 +12.9
ATL 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.9
IND 13.7 +1.9
ATL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.4%
IND 54.0%
ATL 57.1% +3.1%
TO %
14.4%
13.6%
IND 12.3% +0.3%
ATL 12.6%
ORB %
25.5%
26.0%
IND 27.9% +5.4%
ATL 22.5%
FTrt
26.7
32.3
IND 33.3
ATL 58.4 +25.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.1%
IND 45.2%
ATL 65.0% +19.8%
STL %
7.2%
8.2%
IND 9.3%
ATL 10.1% +0.8%
BLK %
8.1%
7.4%
IND 6.9%
ATL 7.8% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
53.2%
IND 57.8%
ATL 61.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%
56.5%
60.5%
IND 50.0%
ATL 70.4% +20.4%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.2%
IND 50.0% +8.1%
ATL 41.9%
3P %
37.8%
36.6%
IND 43.5% +1.4%
ATL 42.1%
FT %
80.7%
73.8%
IND 82.8% +7.2%
ATL 75.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
32.2%
IND 34.5%
ATL 35.1% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
42.4%
IND 39.1% +1.2%
ATL 40.3%
3P Att. %
24.4%
25.3%
IND 26.4% +1.8%
ATL 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDATL
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points118122
Rebounds4340
Assists1926
Steals910
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals42-8740-77
At-the-Rim FG15-3019-27
Midrange FG17-3413-31
2-Point FG32-6432-58
3-Point FG10-238-19
Free Throws24-2934-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
40.7
17
50%
4
7
1
0
5
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
38.8
21
81%
10
4
0
0
2
2
2
8
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
38.1
35
67%
4
0
3
1
0
4
0
4
7-11
64%
8-11
73%
4-11
36%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
35.9
10
63%
7
1
1
1
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
25.9
16
47%
8
2
0
0
0
2
4
4
8-9
89%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
29.6
12
60%
4
4
3
0
4
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
20.4
2
25%
3
1
0
1
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
10.7
5
83%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
F · 6'10" 230 · 33
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
58%
43
19
9
4
13
0
12
31
24-29
83%
32-64
50%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.