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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers36%97118
13Hawks64%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
40.7
32.0
17
50%
4
7
1
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
38.8
27.5
21
82%
10
4
0
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.0
38.1
30.3
35
65%
4
0
3
1
1
0
0
4
7-11
64%
8-11
5-11
73%
48%
4-11
36%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
35.9
29.2
10
63%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
25.9
22.4
16
47%
8
2
0
0
0
0
4
4
8-9
89%
4-13
5-9
31%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
29.6
23.8
12
61%
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
20.4
18.7
2
25%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
10.7
18.5
5
56%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
16.6
1
2-4
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
10.8
0
0-1
45%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.9
5.8
0
1-1
55%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.9
5.8
0
1-2
52%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.3
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
45.1
35.1
15
54%
4
9
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
48%
3-4
75%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
42.0
34.2
22
73%
15
5
2
1
1
3
2
13
6-7
86%
8-12
5-10
67%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
37.9
39.1
30
58%
10
4
3
2
2
3
5
5
10-16
63%
10-17
6-12
59%
51%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
37.7
37.6
24
74%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
49%
5-8
63%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
14.0
6.2
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
33.0
28.1
15
58%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-9
78%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
11.9
33.3
5
53%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
4-9
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
10.4
4.0
7
93%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
6.8
16.4
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
1.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
52%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-1
51%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.