Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Heat	29%	89	98	111.4	88	86.3
	8	Celtics	71%	96	105	118.0	89	90.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	40.5	31	60%	3	9	0	1	1	4	0	3	7-13	54%	9-16	56%	2-4	50%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	39.0	5	28%	4	6	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	38.8	23	52%	13	2	2	0	2	3	5	8	3-4	75%	10-19	53%	0-1	0%
Jermaine O'Neal C · 6'11" 255 · 30	36.3	16	62%	9	1	0	4	2	2	1	8	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F · 6'7" 225 · 27	30.4	5	36%	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29	20.4	6	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	19.7	8	100%	5	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 26	7.6	1	25%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	7.0	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 27	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamario Moon #8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Luther Head #13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	51%	38	21	7	6	9	0	11	27	14-23	61%	33-64	52%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	40.5	31	60%	3	9	0	1	1	4	0	3	7-13	54%	9-16	56%	2-4	50%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	39.0	5	28%	4	6	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	38.8	23	52%	13	2	2	0	2	3	5	8	3-4	75%	10-19	53%	0-1	0%
Jermaine O'Neal C · 6'11" 255 · 30	36.3	16	62%	9	1	0	4	2	2	1	8	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F · 6'7" 225 · 27	30.4	5	36%	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29	20.4	6	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	19.7	8	100%	5	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 26	7.6	1	25%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	7.0	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 27	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamario Moon #8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Luther Head #13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	51%	38	21	7	6	9	0	11	27	14-23	61%	33-64	52%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	39.5	10	33%	7	1	0	3	3	4	4	3	0-0	-	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	39.2	21	66%	3	4	1	1	1	1	0	3	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 23	37.2	22	55%	8	1	2	0	3	4	5	3	6-6	100%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	36.7	28	78%	8	0	0	0	1	1	1	7	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	4-5	80%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	34.5	7	58%	10	12	1	0	2	1	3	7	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33	16.9	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stephon Marbury G · 6'2" 205 · 32	13.8	8	57%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 27	10.5	1	25%	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	10.3	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 22	1.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Garnett #5 · F · 6'11" 240 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Leon Powe #0 · F · 6'8" 240 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	57%	44	20	4	5	12	0	14	30	20-21	95%	29-67	43%	9-14	64%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	BOS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.02 51.0%

BOS

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

18

28

64%

BOS

14

30

47%

Midrange

MIA

15

36

42%

BOS

15

37

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

BOS

9

13.5

14

64%

96%

Free Throws

MIA

14

23

61%

BOS

20

21

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	31	60%	15.5 / 26
M. Beasley	23	52%	11.5 / 22
J. O'Neal	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Magloire	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Jones	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers	5	28%	2.5 / 9
Y. Diawara	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Cook	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Quinn	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pierce	28	78%	14.0 / 18
G. Davis	22	55%	11.0 / 20
R. Allen	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Perkins	10	33%	5.0 / 15
S. Marbury	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Rondo	7	58%	3.5 / 6
E. House	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Moore	2	33%	1.0 / 3
H. Walker	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Allen	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 107.6 7 110.1	MIA 111.4 BOS 118.0 +6.6
Pace	23 90.2 18 90.9	MIA 86.3 BOS 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	7 16.3 14 15.8	MIA 16.7 BOS 15.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 50.0% 2 52.8%	MIA 50.6% BOS 52.5% +1.9%
TO %	3 13.1% 28 16.4%	MIA 9.7% −2.0% BOS 11.7%
ORB %	24 24.6% 8 27.9%	MIA 26.8% BOS 34.1% +7.3%
FTrt	24 28.2 8 32.8	MIA 27.7 +1.8 BOS 25.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 55.1% 3 60.6%	MIA 53.8% +1.2% BOS 52.6%
STL %	5 8.7% 6 8.3%	MIA 8.0% +3.5% BOS 4.5%
BLK %	2 9.2% 16 7.8%	MIA 9.0% +1.2% BOS 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 52.6% 2 55.6%	MIA 51.0% BOS 57.1% +6.1%
Rim FG%	9 59.5% 7 60.2%	MIA 64.3% +17.6% BOS 46.7%
Mid FG%	8 41.8% 5 42.4%	MIA 41.7% +1.2% BOS 40.5%
3P %	22 35.7% 1 39.7%	MIA 31.6% BOS 64.3% +32.7%
FT %	23 75.4% 17 76.7%	MIA 60.9% BOS 95.2% +34.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 30.3% 7 37.8%	MIA 33.7% BOS 37.0% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	22 45.2% 11 40.8%	MIA 43.4% −2.3% BOS 45.7%
3P Att. %	8 24.5% 19 21.4%	MIA 22.9% +5.6% BOS 17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	BOS
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	98	105
Rebounds	38	44
Assists	21	20
Steals	7	4
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	39-83	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	14-30
Midrange FG	15-36	15-37
2-Point FG	33-64	29-67
3-Point FG	6-19	9-14
Free Throws	14-23	20-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg