FinalWin Prob.pScore
1729%89
98
871%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.48886.3
BOS logo BOS
118.08990.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS98
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)98
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)98
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSCELTICS Rebound95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)95
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup95
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound95
6.0%
99
94.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)95
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 0:57.0BOSDavis 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)95
7.2%
99
92.8%
Q4 - 1:20BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
18.3%
97
81.7%
Q4 - 1:37BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
26.8%
97
73.2%
Q4 - 1:37BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
28.4%
96
71.6%
Q4 - 1:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)95
36.4%
95
63.6%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
53.4%
95
46.6%
Q4 - 2:22BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup95
48.1%
95
51.9%
Q4 - 2:23BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)95
36.1%
95
63.9%
Q4 - 2:24BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup95
48.2%
95
51.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)95
36.0%
95
64.0%
Q4 - 3:08BOSPierce 17' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)93
29.4%
95
70.6%
Q4 - 3:23MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)93
36.0%
93
64.0%
Q4 - 3:38BOSRondo Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)91
28.8%
93
71.2%
Q4 - 3:47BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
23.1%
93
76.9%
Q4 - 4:07BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)91
28.5%
93
71.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)91
45.8%
90
54.2%
Q4 - 4:35BOSDavis 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)88
28.4%
90
71.6%
Q4 - 4:41BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)88
36.3%
88
63.7%
Q4 - 4:42BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot88
43.4%
88
56.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)88
36.3%
88
63.7%
Q4 - 5:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot85
18.7%
88
81.3%
Q4 - 5:49BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)85
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)85
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 6:27BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)82
18.4%
86
81.6%
Q4 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
29.0%
83
71.0%
Q4 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q4 - 6:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q4 - 6:44BOSMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot80
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
18.2%
83
81.8%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAHeat Rebound78
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot78
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound78
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot78
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
15.0%
83
85.0%
Q4 - 7:42BOSMISS House 21' Jump Shot78
13.9%
83
86.1%
Q4 - 7:49BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)78
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot78
12.5%
83
87.5%
Q4 - 8:06BOSDavis 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)78
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q4 - 8:25BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot78
20.8%
81
79.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q4 - 8:46BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot78
22.5%
81
77.5%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
20.5%
81
79.5%
Q4 - 9:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
16.7%
81
83.3%
Q4 - 9:18BOSMISS Marbury 17' Jump Shot76
15.7%
81
84.3%
Q4 - 9:26BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
13.7%
81
86.3%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot76
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 9:47BOSDavis 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)76
16.6%
81
83.4%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)76
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q4 - 10:22BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot76
23.4%
79
76.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q4 - 10:49BOSMISS Marbury 20' Jump Shot75
19.5%
79
80.5%
Q4 - 11:04BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
17.8%
79
82.2%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 275
18.2%
79
81.8%
Q4 - 11:05MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
17.6%
79
82.4%
Q4 - 11:22BOSMISS Perkins 5' Turnaround Jump Shot74
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 11:46MIABeasley 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)74
14.8%
79
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS72
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot72
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Rebound72
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Moore 3' Layup72
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABeasley 5' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q3 - 1:16BOSPierce 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)70
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 1:25BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot70
19.3%
74
80.7%
Q3 - 1:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
21.3%
74
78.7%
Q3 - 1:40BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot70
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q3 - 2:14MIAHeat Rebound68
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 2:15BOSMISS Moore 19' Jump Shot68
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 2:33MIABeasley Driving Layup (16 PTS)68
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q3 - 2:36BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q3 - 2:40MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)66
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 2:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot66
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 3:20BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot66
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 3:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 3:57BOSMISS Perkins 3' Layup64
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 4:10BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot64
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 4:30BOSPierce 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)64
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 5:00BOSPerkins 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)62
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)62
10.4%
70
89.6%
Q3 - 5:40BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)60
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 5:46BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 5:47BOSMISS Perkins 3' Jump Shot60
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 5:58MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)60
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 6:13BOSMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 6:13BOSMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 6:31BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Beasley 14' Fadeaway Jumper60
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 6:53BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)60
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 6:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 7:00MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)60
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 7:22BOSPerkins 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)60
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
30.0%
60
70.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
29.4%
60
70.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
27.0%
60
73.0%
Q3 - 7:43BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup58
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 7:50BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Diawara 22' Jump Shot58
24.8%
60
75.2%
Q3 - 8:15BOSRondo 9' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)58
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIABeasley 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)58
29.7%
58
70.3%
Q3 - 8:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot56
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 8:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)56
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 8:53BOSMISS Perkins 2' Hook Shot56
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)56
23.8%
58
76.2%
Q3 - 9:24BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)54
21.3%
58
78.7%
Q3 - 9:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)54
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 10:06BOSPerkins 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)51
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:29BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot51
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q3 - 10:50BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 11:05MIABeasley 2' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)51
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 11:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
19.0%
54
81.0%
Q3 - 11:12BOSMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot49
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q3 - 11:25MIABeasley 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 11:39BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot47
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)47
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot46
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 1:14BOSWalker 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)44
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q2 - 1:41BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)43
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 2:20BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)41
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 2:35BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot41
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 3:11BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)39
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 3:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot39
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 3:43BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
23.4%
42
76.6%
Q2 - 3:43BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 3:43BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)39
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 3:44BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
27.8%
39
72.2%
Q2 - 3:45BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup39
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 3:48BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
27.8%
39
72.2%
Q2 - 3:50BOSMISS Davis 3' Layup39
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
27.7%
39
72.3%
Q2 - 4:14BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot38
26.9%
39
73.1%
Q2 - 4:40MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)38
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 4:51BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 4:57BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
20.9%
39
79.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Beasley 1' Tip Shot36
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot36
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 5:18BOSMarbury 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)36
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 5:50BOSMarbury 23' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 235
29.3%
35
70.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 6:10BOSMISS Perkins 9' Jump Shot35
29.2%
35
70.8%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMagloire 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)35
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Jones 1' Layup33
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 6:53BOSMarbury 2' Layup (4 PTS)33
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 6:58BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot33
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 7:20BOSAllen 8' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 7:27BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Quinn 8' Jump Shot33
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 7:40BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)33
34.5%
31
65.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)33
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:08BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 231
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 8:08BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 8:53BOSMarbury 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 8:57BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29.3%
28
70.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot29
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 9:16BOSDavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)29
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q2 - 9:29BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 129
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:47BOSDavis Dunk (8 PTS)27
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q2 - 9:51MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)27
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q2 - 10:07BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)27
31.1%
26
68.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)27
35.6%
23
64.4%
Q2 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound25
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q2 - 10:43BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q2 - 10:47BOSMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot25
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q2 - 11:16BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q2 - 11:26BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q2 - 11:38BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q2 - 11:47BOSHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 225
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 225
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot25
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSPierce 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot23
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot23
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 1:04BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot23
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 1:19BOSPierce 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)23
39.1%
17
60.9%
Q1 - 1:49BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 1:49BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMagloire 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 2:36BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIADiawara 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 2:56BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup16
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 2:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 3:00BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 3:09BOSCELTICS Rebound16
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 3:11MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)16
28.5%
15
71.5%
Q1 - 3:28BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)16
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)16
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 4:07BOSDavis Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)16
35.2%
12
64.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)16
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 4:39BOSMISS Davis Layup14
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 4:40BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 4:41BOSMISS Perkins 14' Jump Shot14
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 5:00MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound12
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 5:16BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot12
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 5:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 5:21BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup12
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)12
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 5:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 5:51BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot10
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 6:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 6:36BOSPerkins 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 6:38BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup8
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 6:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot8
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 7:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 7:10BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot8
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 7:27BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Beasley 2' Alley Oop Layup8
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 7:33BOSDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 7:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:43BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:01MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 8:31BOSRondo 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 8:36BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:00BOSPierce 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIAO'Neal 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)4
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 9:46BOSAllen 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)2
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 10:02BOSMISS Davis 8' Hook Shot2
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIABeasley Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 10:28BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 10:35BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 10:57BOSMISS Perkins 4' Jump Shot0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:01BOSMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:36BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:48BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot0
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Beasley0
25.9%
0
74.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
BOS
14
30
47%
Midrange
MIA
15
36
42%
BOS
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
BOS
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
MIA
14
23
61%
BOS
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3160%15.5 / 26
M. Beasley2352%11.5 / 22
J. O'Neal1662%8.0 / 13
J. Magloire8100%4.0 / 4
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers528%2.5 / 9
Y. Diawara536%2.5 / 7
D. Cook338%1.5 / 4
C. Quinn125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2878%14.0 / 18
G. Davis2255%11.0 / 20
R. Allen2166%10.5 / 16
K. Perkins1033%5.0 / 15
S. Marbury857%4.0 / 7
R. Rondo758%3.5 / 6
E. House4100%2.0 / 2
M. Moore233%1.0 / 3
H. Walker2100%1.0 / 1
T. Allen125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+16
-9
95
BOS
77
+15
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
110.1
MIA 111.4
BOS 118.0 +6.6
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 86.3
BOS 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
MIA 16.7
BOS 15.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.8%
MIA 50.6%
BOS 52.5% +1.9%
TO %
13.1%
16.4%
MIA 9.7% +2.0%
BOS 11.7%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 26.8%
BOS 34.1% +7.3%
FTrt
28.2
32.8
MIA 27.7 +1.8
BOS 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
60.6%
MIA 53.8% +1.2%
BOS 52.6%
STL %
8.7%
8.3%
MIA 8.0% +3.5%
BOS 4.5%
BLK %
9.2%
7.8%
MIA 9.0% +1.2%
BOS 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
55.6%
MIA 51.0%
BOS 57.1% +6.1%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.2%
MIA 64.3% +17.6%
BOS 46.7%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.4%
MIA 41.7% +1.2%
BOS 40.5%
3P %
35.7%
39.7%
MIA 31.6%
BOS 64.3% +32.7%
FT %
75.4%
76.7%
MIA 60.9%
BOS 95.2% +34.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
37.8%
MIA 33.7%
BOS 37.0% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
40.8%
MIA 43.4% +2.3%
BOS 45.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.4%
MIA 22.9% +5.6%
BOS 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points98105
Rebounds3844
Assists2120
Steals74
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals39-8338-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2814-30
Midrange FG15-3615-37
2-Point FG33-6429-67
3-Point FG6-199-14
Free Throws14-2320-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.5
31
60%
3
9
0
1
1
4
0
3
7-13
54%
9-16
56%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
39.0
5
28%
4
6
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
38.8
23
52%
13
2
2
0
2
3
5
8
3-4
75%
10-19
53%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
36.3
16
62%
9
1
0
4
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 27
30.4
5
36%
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
20.4
6
50%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
19.7
8
100%
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
7.6
1
25%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
7.0
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
#8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
38
21
7
6
9
0
11
27
14-23
61%
33-64
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.