Final Win Prob. pScore
1729%89
98
871%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
111.48886.3
BOS logo Celtics
118.08990.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS98
105
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
105
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
105
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
105
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)98
104
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)98
103
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)98
103
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSSUB: Allen FOR House95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
102
Q4 - 0:15.0MIADiawara P.FOUL (P3.PN)95
101
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSSUB: Marbury FOR Allen95
101
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSSUB: House FOR Davis95
101
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSCELTICS Rebound95
101
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
101
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
101
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
101
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)95
101
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
101
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSSUB: Allen FOR Perkins95
101
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR O'Neal95
101
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)95
101
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
101
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
100
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.PN)95
99
Q4 - 0:41.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
99
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup95
99
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound95
99
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)95
99
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
99
Q4 - 0:57.0BOSDavis 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)95
99
Q4 - 1:20BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
97
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
97
Q4 - 1:37BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
97
Q4 - 1:37MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Magloire95
96
Q4 - 1:37BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
96
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.PN)95
95
Q4 - 1:47MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T2)95
95
Q4 - 1:56MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal95
95
Q4 - 1:56BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)95
95
Q4 - 1:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)95
95
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
95
Q4 - 2:22BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup95
95
Q4 - 2:23BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)95
95
Q4 - 2:24BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup95
95
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)95
95
Q4 - 3:08BOSPierce 17' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)93
95
Q4 - 3:23MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)93
93
Q4 - 3:38BOSRondo Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)91
93
Q4 - 3:47BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
93
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
93
Q4 - 4:07BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)91
93
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 4:20BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.PN)90
90
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)90
90
Q4 - 4:35BOSDavis 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)88
90
Q4 - 4:41BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)88
88
Q4 - 4:42BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot88
88
Q4 - 4:5588
88
Q4 - 4:55MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)88
88
Q4 - 5:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)88
88
Q4 - 5:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
88
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 5:49BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)85
88
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)85
86
Q4 - 6:27BOS82
86
Q4 - 6:27BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)82
86
Q4 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
83
Q4 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
83
Q4 - 6:39MIASUB: Beasley FOR Magloire80
83
Q4 - 6:39BOSSUB: Pierce FOR House80
83
Q4 - 6:39BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)80
83
Q4 - 6:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
83
Q4 - 6:44BOSMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot80
83
Q4 - 6:55MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 6:55MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
83
Q4 - 6:55BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Marbury78
83
Q4 - 6:55BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Moore78
83
Q4 - 6:55BOSHouse L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)78
83
Q4 - 6:55MIAHeat Rebound78
83
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot78
83
Q4 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
83
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
83
Q4 - 7:20BOSMoore L.B.FOUL (P5.T4)78
83
Q4 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound78
83
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot78
83
Q4 - 7:30BOSMarbury P.FOUL (P3.T3)78
83
Q4 - 7:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
83
Q4 - 7:42BOSMISS House 21' Jump Shot78
83
Q4 - 7:49BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)78
83
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot78
83
Q4 - 8:06BOSDavis 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)78
83
Q4 - 8:25BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
81
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 8:39MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Beasley78
81
Q4 - 8:39BOSSUB: Allen FOR Allen78
81
Q4 - 8:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
81
Q4 - 8:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
81
Q4 - 8:46BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 9:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
81
Q4 - 9:18BOSMISS Marbury 17' Jump Shot76
81
Q4 - 9:26BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
81
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot76
81
Q4 - 9:47BOSDavis 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)76
81
Q4 - 10:08MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)76
79
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
79
Q4 - 10:22BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
79
Q4 - 10:36MIAHeat Rebound75
79
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
79
Q4 - 10:36BOSSUB: Davis FOR Perkins75
79
Q4 - 10:36BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P4.T2)75
79
Q4 - 10:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
79
Q4 - 10:49BOSMISS Marbury 20' Jump Shot75
79
Q4 - 11:04BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
79
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 275
79
Q4 - 11:05MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
79
Q4 - 11:05MIASUB: Wade FOR Quinn74
79
Q4 - 11:05BOSMoore S.FOUL (P4.T1)74
79
Q4 - 11:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
79
Q4 - 11:22BOSMISS Perkins 5' Turnaround Jump Shot74
79
Q4 - 11:46MIABeasley 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)74
79
Q4 - 12:0072
79
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS72
79
Q3 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Beasley72
79
Q3 - 0:03.0BOSSUB: House FOR Moore72
79
Q3 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade72
79
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABeasley P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
79
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
79
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot72
79
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
79
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSSUB: Allen FOR Allen72
77
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Rebound72
77
Q3 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Moore 3' Layup72
77
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABeasley 5' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
77
Q3 - 1:16BOSPierce 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)70
77
Q3 - 1:25BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
74
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot70
74
Q3 - 1:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
74
Q3 - 1:40BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot70
74
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
74
Q3 - 2:13MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers68
74
Q3 - 2:13BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
74
Q3 - 2:14MIAHeat Rebound68
74
Q3 - 2:15BOSMISS Moore 19' Jump Shot68
74
Q3 - 2:33MIABeasley Driving Layup (16 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 2:36BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
74
Q3 - 2:40MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)66
74
Q3 - 2:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
74
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot66
74
Q3 - 3:05MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
74
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
74
Q3 - 3:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
74
Q3 - 3:20BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot66
74
Q3 - 3:31MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal66
74
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2)66
74
Q3 - 3:50MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
74
Q3 - 3:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
74
Q3 - 3:57BOSMISS Perkins 3' Layup64
74
Q3 - 4:10BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
74
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot64
74
Q3 - 4:30BOSPierce 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)64
74
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
72
Q3 - 5:00BOSPerkins 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)62
72
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)62
70
Q3 - 5:40BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)60
70
Q3 - 5:46BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
67
Q3 - 5:47BOSMISS Perkins 3' Jump Shot60
67
Q3 - 5:58MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)60
67
Q3 - 6:13BOSMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
67
Q3 - 6:13BOSMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
66
Q3 - 6:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
65
Q3 - 6:13MIABeasley S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
65
Q3 - 6:31BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
65
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Beasley 14' Fadeaway Jumper60
65
Q3 - 6:53BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)60
65
Q3 - 6:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
62
Q3 - 7:00MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)60
62
Q3 - 7:22BOSPerkins 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)60
62
Q3 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 7:39BOSSUB: Moore FOR Davis59
60
Q3 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 7:39BOSDavis S.FOUL (P4.T1)58
60
Q3 - 7:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
60
Q3 - 7:43BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup58
60
Q3 - 7:50BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
60
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Diawara 22' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 8:15BOSRondo 9' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 8:32MIABeasley 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)58
58
Q3 - 8:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
58
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot56
58
Q3 - 8:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)56
58
Q3 - 8:53BOSMISS Perkins 2' Hook Shot56
58
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)56
58
Q3 - 9:24BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)54
58
Q3 - 9:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)54
58
Q3 - 10:06BOSPerkins 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)51
58
Q3 - 10:29BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
56
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 10:50BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
56
Q3 - 11:05MIABeasley 2' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)51
54
Q3 - 11:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
54
Q3 - 11:12BOSMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot49
54
Q3 - 11:25MIABeasley 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
54
Q3 - 11:39BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
54
Q3 - 12:0047
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
54
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
54
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot47
54
Q2 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Diawara47
54
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)47
54
Q2 - 0:17.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)47
54
Q2 - 0:17.0MIADiawara S.FOUL (P2.T4)47
53
Q2 - 0:17.0BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)47
53
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
51
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
51
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
51
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P3.PN)46
51
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
51
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot46
51
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
51
Q2 - 1:14BOSWalker 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)44
51
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
49
Q2 - 1:24MIAHeat Rebound43
49
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
49
Q2 - 1:24BOSSUB: Walker FOR Davis43
49
Q2 - 1:24MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal43
49
Q2 - 1:24BOSDavis P.FOUL (P3.PN)43
49
Q2 - 1:41BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)43
49
Q2 - 2:07MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
47
Q2 - 2:20BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)41
47
Q2 - 2:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
45
Q2 - 2:35BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot41
45
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 3:02MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
45
Q2 - 3:11BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)39
45
Q2 - 3:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
42
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 3:43BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 3:43BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 3:43BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal T.FOUL (P2.T3)39
39
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T3)39
39
Q2 - 3:44BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
39
Q2 - 3:45BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup39
39
Q2 - 3:48BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
39
Q2 - 3:50BOSMISS Davis 3' Layup39
39
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
39
Q2 - 4:04MIAHeat Rebound38
39
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
39
Q2 - 4:04BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Marbury38
39
Q2 - 4:04BOSDavis P.FOUL (P2.PN)38
39
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
39
Q2 - 4:14BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot38
39
Q2 - 4:40MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)38
39
Q2 - 4:51BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
39
Q2 - 4:57BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
39
Q2 - 4:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
39
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Beasley 1' Tip Shot36
39
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 5:18BOSMarbury 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
39
Q2 - 5:25MIASUB: Beasley FOR Magloire36
37
Q2 - 5:25MIASUB: Wade FOR Quinn36
37
Q2 - 5:25BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
37
Q2 - 5:25MIAMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)36
37
Q2 - 5:50BOSMarbury 23' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 6:03MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
35
Q2 - 6:03MIAHeat Rebound35
35
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 235
35
Q2 - 6:03MIASUB: Diawara FOR Jones35
35
Q2 - 6:03BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Allen35
35
Q2 - 6:03BOSMarbury P.FOUL (P2.PN)35
35
Q2 - 6:10MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
35
Q2 - 6:10BOSMISS Perkins 9' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 6:33MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
35
Q2 - 6:33MIAMagloire 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Jones 1' Layup33
35
Q2 - 6:53BOSMarbury 2' Layup (4 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 6:58BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 7:07BOSPerkins P.FOUL (P2.T4)33
33
Q2 - 7:20BOSAllen 8' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
33
Q2 - 7:27BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
31
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Quinn 8' Jump Shot33
31
Q2 - 7:40BOSSUB: Allen FOR House33
31
Q2 - 7:40BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)33
31
Q2 - 7:59MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)33
31
Q2 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
31
Q2 - 8:08BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 231
31
Q2 - 8:08BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 8:08MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)31
30
Q2 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
30
Q2 - 8:39MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cook29
30
Q2 - 8:3929
30
Q2 - 8:39BOSMarbury P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
30
Q2 - 8:53BOSMarbury 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 8:57BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 9:16BOSDavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)29
28
Q2 - 9:29BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
28
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 129
28
Q2 - 9:30BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Moore29
28
Q2 - 9:30BOSMoore S.FOUL (P3.T2)29
28
Q2 - 9:30MIAMagloire 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)29
28
Q2 - 9:47BOSDavis Dunk (8 PTS)27
28
Q2 - 9:51MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)27
26
Q2 - 10:07BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)27
26
Q2 - 10:15MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)27
23
Q2 - 10:25MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)27
23
Q2 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound25
23
Q2 - 10:36MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
23
Q2 - 10:43BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
23
Q2 - 10:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
23
Q2 - 10:47BOSMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot25
23
Q2 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
23
Q2 - 11:02MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)25
23
Q2 - 11:06BOSMoore P.FOUL (P2.T1)25
23
Q2 - 11:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23
Q2 - 11:16BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
23
Q2 - 11:26BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
23
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
23
Q2 - 11:38BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
23
Q2 - 11:38BOSDavis OFF.Foul (P1)25
23
Q2 - 11:47BOSHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
23
Q2 - 11:47MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )25
22
Q2 - 12:0025
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
22
Q1 - 0:01.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 225
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Magloire25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0BOSSUB: Allen FOR Davis25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Moore25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Rebound25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 225
22
Q1 - 0:03.0BOSMoore P.FOUL (P1.PN)25
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22
Q1 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot25
22
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
22
Q1 - 0:31.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley23
22
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSSUB: Marbury FOR Rondo23
22
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSSUB: House FOR Allen23
22
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
22
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSPierce 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 0:45.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 0:54.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
19
Q1 - 0:57.0BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 1:04BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
19
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 1:19BOSPierce 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
19
Q1 - 1:35MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)23
17
Q1 - 1:49BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 1:49BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
16
Q1 - 1:49BOSSUB: Moore FOR Perkins20
15
Q1 - 1:49MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
15
Q1 - 1:58MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
15
Q1 - 2:22MIAMagloire 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
15
Q1 - 2:36MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal18
15
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
15
Q1 - 2:36BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
15
Q1 - 2:36BOSPerkins OFF.Foul (P1)18
15
Q1 - 2:50MIADiawara 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
15
Q1 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
15
Q1 - 2:56BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup16
15
Q1 - 2:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
15
Q1 - 3:00BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
15
Q1 - 3:09BOSCELTICS Rebound16
15
Q1 - 3:11MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)16
15
Q1 - 3:28BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)16
15
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers16
12
Q1 - 3:43MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)16
12
Q1 - 4:07BOSDavis Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)16
12
Q1 - 4:28MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)16
10
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 4:38MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
8
Q1 - 4:38BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 4:39BOSMISS Davis Layup14
8
Q1 - 4:40BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 4:41BOSMISS Perkins 14' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 5:00MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 5:15BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
8
Q1 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound12
8
Q1 - 5:16BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot12
8
Q1 - 5:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
8
Q1 - 5:21BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup12
8
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 5:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
8
Q1 - 5:51BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 6:12MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 6:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
8
Q1 - 6:36BOSPerkins 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 6:38BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup8
6
Q1 - 6:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
6
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 7:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 7:10BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot8
6
Q1 - 7:22MIADiawara P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 7:27BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Beasley 2' Alley Oop Layup8
6
Q1 - 7:33BOSDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 7:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 7:43BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:01MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 8:11BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )4
6
Q1 - 8:31BOSRondo 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 8:36BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:00BOSPierce 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:19MIAO'Neal 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 9:46BOSAllen 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 9:50MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)2
0
Q1 - 10:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 10:02BOSMISS Davis 8' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:24MIABeasley Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:28BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:35BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:57BOSMISS Perkins 4' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:01BOSMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Beasley0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
BOS
14
30
47%
Midrange
MIA
15
36
42%
BOS
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
BOS
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
MIA
14
23
61%
BOS
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3160%15.5 / 26
M. Beasley2352%11.5 / 22
J. O'Neal1662%8.0 / 13
J. Magloire8100%4.0 / 4
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers528%2.5 / 9
Y. Diawara536%2.5 / 7
D. Cook338%1.5 / 4
C. Quinn125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2878%14.0 / 18
G. Davis2255%11.0 / 20
R. Allen2166%10.5 / 16
K. Perkins1033%5.0 / 15
S. Marbury857%4.0 / 7
R. Rondo758%3.5 / 6
E. House4100%2.0 / 2
M. Moore233%1.0 / 3
H. Walker2100%1.0 / 1
T. Allen125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+16
-9
95
BOS
77
+15
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
110.1
MIA 111.4
BOS 118.0 +6.6
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 86.3
BOS 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
MIA 16.7
BOS 15.9 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.8%
MIA 50.6%
BOS 52.5% +1.9%
TO %
13.1%
16.4%
MIA 9.7% −2.0%
BOS 11.7%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 26.8%
BOS 34.1% +7.3%
FTrt
28.2
32.8
MIA 27.7 +1.8
BOS 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
60.6%
MIA 53.8% +1.2%
BOS 52.6%
STL %
8.7%
8.3%
MIA 8.0% +3.5%
BOS 4.5%
BLK %
9.2%
7.8%
MIA 9.0% +1.2%
BOS 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
55.6%
MIA 51.0%
BOS 57.1% +6.1%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.2%
MIA 64.3% +17.6%
BOS 46.7%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.4%
MIA 41.7% +1.2%
BOS 40.5%
3P %
35.7%
39.7%
MIA 31.6%
BOS 64.3% +32.7%
FT %
75.4%
76.7%
MIA 60.9%
BOS 95.2% +34.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
37.8%
MIA 33.7%
BOS 37.0% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
40.8%
MIA 43.4% −2.3%
BOS 45.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.4%
MIA 22.9% +5.6%
BOS 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points98105
Rebounds3844
Assists2120
Steals74
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals39-8338-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2814-30
Midrange FG15-3615-37
2-Point FG33-6429-67
3-Point FG6-199-14
Free Throws14-2320-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.5
31
60%
3
9
0
1
1
4
0
3
7-13
54%
9-16
56%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
39.0
5
28%
4
6
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
38.8
23
52%
13
2
2
0
2
3
5
8
3-4
75%
10-19
53%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
36.3
16
62%
9
1
0
4
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 27
30.4
5
36%
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
20.4
6
50%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
19.7
8
100%
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
7.6
1
25%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
7.0
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
#8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
38
21
7
6
9
0
11
27
14-23
61%
33-64
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.