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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Wizards33%97100
22Raptors67%10398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.1
43.0
32.7
21
54%
5
7
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
49%
0-2
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
37.0
24.7
8
51%
11
5
2
1
3
2
1
10
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
36.8
30.6
24
53%
12
2
0
1
0
1
3
9
3-6
50%
6-14
5-11
43%
49%
3-6
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.4
32.5
24.6
15
55%
9
3
1
0
5
1
2
7
3-6
50%
6-11
4-7
55%
52%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.3
24.0
28.5
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.5
24.0
15.6
8
57%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
16.0
25.8
9
85%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.2
15.5
13.0
4
40%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
11.2
23.5
5
51%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
11.8
0
2-4
51%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
10.7
0
1-3
46%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
7.2
0
1-2
48%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.8
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
39.4
30.5
7
29%
10
2
0
1
1
1
0
10
0-0
-
2-10
5-10
20%
56%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
38.5
33.8
21
68%
10
5
1
1
2
2
3
7
7-10
70%
7-10
8-15
70%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
34.7
22.9
9
27%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-12
4-7
33%
50%
0-4
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
33.5
30.2
15
70%
1
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
4-6
67%
57%
1-3
33%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
22.2
28.6
10
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
27.2
17.1
20
77%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
6-9
67%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
14.5
14.8
2
20%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
13.7
18.5
8
51%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
10.2
13.3
6
50%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
6.0
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
12.8
0
1-3
47%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.