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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hornets39%9592
7Mavericks61%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
42.6
38.1
20
45%
14
1
0
1
0
2
1
13
4-5
80%
8-20
9-18
40%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
42.4
38.2
42
69%
9
7
2
3
0
2
2
7
11-12
92%
11-19
9-16
58%
52%
3-6
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
34.8
33.5
9
57%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
34.8
37.9
5
36%
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.4
8.9
22.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
22.8
8.9
5
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
19.1
10.8
5
36%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
13.3
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
12.3
16.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.1
5.6
9.9
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.9
3.4
17.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
37.6
31.1
25
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
9-11
82%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
36.1
28.9
3
19%
7
15
1
1
0
4
2
5
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-5
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
31.3
24.0
25
53%
11
2
1
1
0
1
6
5
4-4
100%
9-18
4-8
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
28.4
24.1
12
89%
8
2
0
0
1
1
3
5
2-4
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
61%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
24.9
23.9
5
63%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
38.0
29.2
18
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
2-8
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
27.0
19.0
8
51%
13
0
0
0
1
0
6
7
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
11.9
24.4
3
30%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
1-2
50%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
4.8
16.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
7.9
0
1-2
52%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
6.3
0
1-2
45%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
5.9
0
0-1
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.