for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz49%9599
12Spurs51%96105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
42.5
34.0
25
54%
4
10
1
1
1
3
0
4
6-7
86%
8-17
5-11
47%
51%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
37.0
32.0
17
75%
4
5
2
2
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
7-9
5-9
78%
55%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.9
36.6
28.7
22
58%
10
1
0
1
1
1
3
7
2-2
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
33.3
31.6
15
46%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
7-10
70%
4-12
6-12
33%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
26.8
28.9
4
20%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.1
32.2
23.5
9
57%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.2
21.5
25.4
5
64%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
5.5
8.8
2
114%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.9
4.7
8.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
5.9
0
0-1
44%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
5.0
0
1-1
51%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.4
3.2
0
0-0
42%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
36.5
29.3
16
64%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
34.3
33.1
31
69%
6
7
1
1
0
2
0
6
13-17
76%
9-14
8-16
64%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
31.4
27.3
14
48%
9
2
0
1
0
6
0
9
4-8
50%
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
27.2
29.0
6
63%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
20.9
20.5
5
50%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
30.5
19.9
13
84%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
29.0
21.2
14
47%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
15.7
17.5
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
14.2
16.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
0.2
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
0.2
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
5.7
0
1-1
42%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.