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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bobcats38%94106
15Bulls62%98113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.4
41.3
29.5
15
52%
1
8
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.8
41.3
37.6
26
66%
3
7
1
1
0
5
0
3
5-6
83%
9-15
5-12
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
37.3
40.2
13
57%
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
36.0
40.7
24
55%
10
3
0
1
1
3
7
3
4-4
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
53%
2-5
40%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
33.7
34.3
13
57%
14
1
0
1
2
0
5
9
5-10
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
14.6
18.2
5
83%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.2
14.3
9.3
3
85%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Dontell Jefferson
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
13.4
7.4
3
39%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
8.1
4.0
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
4.7
0
1-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.0
3.2
0
1-1
47%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.6
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
42.2
35.7
39
71%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
7-12
58%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
41.3
35.4
22
65%
3
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
39.0
25.9
11
87%
10
7
1
1
2
4
4
6
3-3
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
36.2
35.5
19
46%
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
5-6
83%
1-7
4-8
14%
51%
4-11
36%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
31.7
31.2
9
36%
6
0
2
1
2
2
2
4
3-6
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
20.1
27.9
10
85%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
18.4
26.0
2
25%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
8.3
4.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.8
5.5
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
4.3
0
1-1
46%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.4
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.