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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors25%101118
7Jazz75%110108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
39.3
34.9
38
82%
7
9
1
2
0
4
1
6
16-16
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
38.5
41.7
18
53%
4
1
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
34.7
38.1
13
75%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
3-4
4-7
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
31.8
24.0
8
63%
9
1
0
1
2
3
2
7
0-3
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
29.5
29.3
11
72%
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
5-6
83%
3-4
5-11
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
37.5
9.8
21
71%
5
3
1
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
4-7
57%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
28.7
27.1
9
38%
5
4
0
1
5
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
24.8
1
3-6
44%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.5
12.5
1
3-6
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
6.6
0
1-2
52%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
6.4
0
1-2
48%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
6.1
0
1-1
46%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
39.7
36.8
26
68%
1
14
2
1
0
4
0
1
12-14
86%
4-7
7-13
57%
54%
2-6
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.9
34.5
31.6
18
58%
5
3
1
1
1
3
2
3
5-8
63%
5-9
5-10
56%
52%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
32.1
31.9
25
62%
12
1
0
1
1
0
4
8
5-5
100%
10-18
7-13
56%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
26.2
33.5
3
31%
3
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
6-10
25%
58%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
10.0
20.0
5
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.2
29.4
23.8
5
28%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
2-8
4-7
25%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.1
27.9
27.0
6
30%
4
3
1
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-7
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
22.5
27.9
10
42%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
53%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.9
9.4
8.0
2
26%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
8.3
8.1
8
80%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.4
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.