Final Win Prob. pScore
445%96
92
955%98
102
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
109.58479.0
Hornets
122.98388.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL92
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHButler Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALSUB: Barea FOR Bass92
100
Q4 - 0:26.0DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)92
100
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALKidd P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
98
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot92
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)92
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot92
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 1:03NOHButler P.FOUL (P3.T4)92
98
Q4 - 1:09DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)92
98
Q4 - 1:09NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)92
3.7%
98
96.3%
Q4 - 1:28DALTerry Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)92
13.1%
95
86.9%
Q4 - 1:49NOHPaul 6' Floating Jump Shot (31 PTS)90
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q4 - 2:11DALNowitzki 12' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS)90
14.3%
93
85.7%
Q4 - 2:24NOHPaul P.FOUL (P4.T3)88
93
Q4 - 2:25NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)88
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 2:25NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 2:26DALWest BLOCK (1 BLK)88
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 2:42NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)88
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 2:42NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
11.6%
92
88.4%
Q4 - 2:42DALSUB: Howard FOR Barea88
91
Q4 - 2:42NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)88
91
Q4 - 2:42DALBarea P.FOUL (P3.PN)88
91
Q4 - 3:02DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
16.5%
91
83.5%
Q4 - 3:02DALBass Putback Dunk (13 PTS)88
16.5%
91
83.5%
Q4 - 3:03DALMISS Barea Layup86
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 3:25NOHButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)86
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 3:25DALKidd S.FOUL (P2.PN)86
90
Q4 - 3:25NOHButler Running Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 17 AST)86
90
Q4 - 3:29NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
23.3%
88
76.7%
Q4 - 3:30DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
26.9%
88
73.1%
Q4 - 3:49NOHWest 16' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)86
36.7%
88
63.3%
Q4 - 4:11DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)86
45.2%
86
54.8%
Q4 - 4:30NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)83
27.9%
86
72.1%
Q4 - 4:55NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
45.2%
83
54.8%
Q4 - 4:56DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot83
48.4%
83
51.6%
Q4 - 5:17NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Peterson83
83
Q4 - 5:1783
83
Q4 - 5:17NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P1.T8)83
54.3%
83
45.7%
Q4 - 5:17NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P3)83
83
Q4 - 5:32DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)83
45.5%
83
54.5%
Q4 - 5:56NOHWest 5' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS)80
30.0%
83
70.0%
Q4 - 6:24DALBass Putback Layup (11 PTS)80
38.4%
81
61.6%
Q4 - 6:25DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 6:26DALMISS Nowitzki Layup78
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 6:39NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 6:39NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)78
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q4 - 6:39DALBass S.FOUL (P3.T4)78
79
Q4 - 6:46NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
38.4%
79
61.6%
Q4 - 6:47DALMISS Terry Reverse Layup78
40.7%
79
59.3%
Q4 - 6:59NOHButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)78
46.1%
79
53.9%
Q4 - 7:09DALBass P.FOUL (P2.T3)78
79
Q4 - 7:20DALBass Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)78
38.9%
79
61.1%
Q4 - 7:20NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.T2)77
79
Q4 - 7:20DALBass Layup (8 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)77
79
Q4 - 7:23DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q4 - 7:25DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
23.1%
79
76.9%
Q4 - 7:50NOHPaul Driving Layup (25 PTS)75
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q4 - 8:06DALNowitzki Driving Layup (27 PTS)75
34.0%
77
66.0%
Q4 - 8:22NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)73
28.2%
77
71.8%
Q4 - 8:22NOHSUB: Butler FOR Stojakovic73
76
Q4 - 8:22DALBarea S.FOUL (P2.T2)73
76
Q4 - 8:22NOHPaul Layup (22 PTS)73
76
Q4 - 8:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
40.0%
74
60.0%
Q4 - 8:32DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot73
41.8%
74
58.2%
Q4 - 8:54DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
46.1%
74
53.9%
Q4 - 8:56NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.2%
74
55.8%
Q4 - 9:14DALBarea Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)73
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q4 - 9:31NOHWest 15' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)71
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q4 - 9:44NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
40.6%
72
59.4%
Q4 - 9:45DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
42.3%
72
57.7%
Q4 - 10:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)71
46.2%
72
53.8%
Q4 - 10:07NOHMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot71
44.6%
72
55.4%
Q4 - 10:31DALBass 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)71
40.8%
72
59.2%
Q4 - 10:45DALSUB: Kidd FOR Howard69
72
Q4 - 10:45DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)69
72
Q4 - 10:45NOHPaul Layup (20 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)69
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q4 - 10:57DALBarea Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)69
40.8%
70
59.2%
Q4 - 11:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)69
46.1%
70
53.9%
Q4 - 11:20NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 269
45.4%
70
54.6%
Q4 - 11:20NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
41.2%
70
58.8%
Q4 - 11:20DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
69
Q4 - 11:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
46.4%
69
53.6%
Q4 - 11:35DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot69
47.9%
69
52.1%
Q4 - 11:44NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
69
Q4 - 12:0069
69
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH69
51.5%
69
48.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound69
46.4%
69
53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
49.9%
69
50.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
46.4%
69
53.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
47.8%
69
52.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOHWest Running Layup (25 PTS)69
50.9%
69
49.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)69
56.6%
67
43.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
50.9%
67
49.1%
Q3 - 1:18NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
55.8%
65
44.2%
Q3 - 1:19DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper67
57.1%
65
42.9%
Q3 - 1:42NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)67
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q3 - 1:54DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)67
65.2%
63
34.8%
Q3 - 2:17NOHWest Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)65
59.5%
63
40.5%
Q3 - 2:22DALPaul STEAL (2 STL)65
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 2:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)65
68.2%
61
31.8%
Q3 - 2:33NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot65
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 2:43DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 2:43DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
62.6%
61
37.4%
Q3 - 2:43NOHPaul S.FOUL (P2.PN)63
61
Q3 - 2:51DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)63
59.5%
61
40.5%
Q3 - 2:51NOHPosey T.FOUL (P3.T4)62
61
Q3 - 2:51NOHPosey P.FOUL (P3.T4)62
61
Q3 - 3:13NOHPaul 11' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)62
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 3:36DALDampier 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)62
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 3:51NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)60
54.7%
59
45.3%
Q3 - 3:51DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T3)60
58
Q3 - 3:51NOHPaul 11' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 3:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
63.2%
56
36.8%
Q3 - 3:55DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot60
64.5%
56
35.5%
Q3 - 4:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)60
67.0%
56
33.0%
Q3 - 4:14NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot60
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 4:35DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (24 PTS)60
62.3%
56
37.7%
Q3 - 4:38NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)58
58.9%
56
41.1%
Q3 - 4:54DALSUB: Terry FOR Wright58
56
Q3 - 4:54DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)58
56
Q3 - 4:54DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P1.T2)58
56
Q3 - 4:55DALPaul STEAL (1 STL)58
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 5:04NOHWest 17' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)58
57.8%
56
42.2%
Q3 - 5:22DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)58
61.4%
54
38.6%
Q3 - 5:33NOHPosey P.FOUL (P2.T3)56
54
Q3 - 5:50NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)56
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 6:00NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 6:01DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot56
62.1%
52
37.9%
Q3 - 6:22NOHWest Layup (15 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)56
64.9%
52
35.1%
Q3 - 6:34DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)56
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q3 - 6:55NOHButler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)54
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 7:02DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
70.3%
47
29.7%
Q3 - 7:02DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
69.7%
47
30.3%
Q3 - 7:02NOHButler S.FOUL (P2.T2)52
47
Q3 - 7:13NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
67.2%
47
32.8%
Q3 - 7:13NOHSUB: Posey FOR Ely52
46
Q3 - 7:13NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
67.6%
46
32.4%
Q3 - 7:13DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
45
Q3 - 7:19NOHHORNETS Rebound52
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q3 - 7:19NOHMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot52
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q3 - 7:32DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)52
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q3 - 7:45DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)50
67.3%
45
32.7%
Q3 - 7:47NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
66.2%
45
33.8%
Q3 - 8:04NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 8:05DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot50
64.1%
45
35.9%
Q3 - 8:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q3 - 8:25NOHMISS West 6' Running Hook Shot50
65.6%
45
34.4%
Q3 - 8:43NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
45
Q3 - 8:52DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)50
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 9:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
59.2%
45
40.8%
Q3 - 9:02NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot48
58.1%
45
41.9%
Q3 - 9:16DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
55.6%
45
44.4%
Q3 - 9:16DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
54.9%
45
45.1%
Q3 - 9:16NOHButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)46
45
Q3 - 9:34NOHEly Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)46
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 9:40NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q3 - 9:41DALMISS Wright Layup46
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q3 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 9:47NOHMISS Ely 12' Hook Shot46
50.9%
45
49.1%
Q3 - 9:59NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q3 - 10:01DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q3 - 10:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)46
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q3 - 10:19NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q3 - 10:39DALWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)46
48.0%
45
52.0%
Q3 - 10:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q3 - 10:52NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q3 - 11:12DALWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q3 - 11:25DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q3 - 11:26DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot44
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q3 - 11:37DALMavericks Rebound44
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q3 - 11:38NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot44
43.6%
45
56.4%
Q3 - 12:0044
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL44
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound44
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 52' 3PT Jump Shot44
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Paul Layup44
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot44
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Paul 13' Jump Shot44
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
45
Q2 - 0:46.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
44
Q2 - 0:46.0NOHPaul Driving Layup (10 PTS)42
44
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
45.1%
42
54.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALMISS Kidd Layup42
45.8%
42
54.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
47.7%
42
52.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot42
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 1:14DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)42
45.2%
42
54.8%
Q2 - 1:20NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)40
41.1%
42
58.9%
Q2 - 1:26DAL40
42
Q2 - 1:26DALKidd 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)40
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q2 - 1:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
34.9%
42
65.1%
Q2 - 1:35NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot38
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 1:56DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)38
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Barea36
42
Q2 - 2:13DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)36
42
Q2 - 2:16NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)36
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 2:33NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
35.4%
39
64.6%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Kidd Layup36
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 2:35DALKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 2:36DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 2:50NOHEly 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS)36
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 3:03NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Howard Layup36
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 3:23NOHButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)36
44.8%
37
55.2%
Q2 - 3:44DALHoward Driving Layup (7 PTS)36
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 3:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
47.9%
34
52.1%
Q2 - 3:50DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot34
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 4:01DALSUB: Kidd FOR Bass34
34
Q2 - 4:01DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
34
Q2 - 4:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
47.6%
34
52.4%
Q2 - 4:08DALMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot34
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q2 - 4:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
47.6%
34
52.4%
Q2 - 4:23DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot34
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q2 - 4:45NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)34
47.6%
34
52.4%
Q2 - 5:09DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)34
53.6%
31
46.4%
Q2 - 5:25NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)31
47.5%
31
52.5%
Q2 - 5:25DALBass S.FOUL (P1.T4)31
30
Q2 - 5:25NOHWest 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)31
30
Q2 - 5:41DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q2 - 5:41NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
28
Q2 - 5:41DALBarea 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)30
28
Q2 - 5:51DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki28
28
Q2 - 5:5128
28
Q2 - 5:51NOHWest L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)28
28
Q2 - 5:51DALMavericks Rebound28
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 5:51DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 6:15NOHButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 6:26DALBarea P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
26
Q2 - 6:28NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Daniels28
26
Q2 - 6:28DALSUB: Howard FOR Wright28
26
Q2 - 6:28DALWright P.FOUL (P3.T2)28
26
Q2 - 6:46DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)28
50.0%
26
50.0%
Q2 - 7:04DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
47.3%
26
52.7%
Q2 - 7:05NOHMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q2 - 7:19DALWright P.FOUL (P2.T1)26
26
Q2 - 7:30DALBass Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)26
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 7:51NOHDaniels 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)24
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 8:09DALNowitzki Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
44.4%
24
55.6%
Q2 - 8:18NOHSUB: West FOR Posey22
24
Q2 - 8:18NOHDaniels P.FOUL (P1.T3)22
24
Q2 - 8:33NOHEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)22
41.7%
24
58.3%
Q2 - 8:44NOHSUB: Paul FOR Brown22
24
Q2 - 8:44NOHSUB: Ely FOR Marks22
24
Q2 - 8:44NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)22
24
Q2 - 8:53DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)22
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 9:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q2 - 9:05NOHMISS Butler 9' Fadeaway Jumper20
35.7%
24
64.3%
Q2 - 9:34DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)20
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q2 - 9:43NOHDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q2 - 9:53NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q2 - 9:54NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 10:22DALNowitzki Running Layup (4 PTS)17
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q2 - 10:30NOHBrown L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)15
24
Q2 - 10:30DALMavericks Rebound15
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 10:30DALMISS Barea Layup15
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q2 - 10:42NOHSUB: Butler FOR West15
24
Q2 - 10:42NOHMarks L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)15
24
Q2 - 10:42DALMavericks Rebound15
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 10:42NOHMISS Posey 8' Jump Shot15
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q2 - 11:07DALBass Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)15
24.0%
24
76.0%
Q2 - 11:26NOHBrown Layup (2 PTS)13
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q2 - 11:29DALBrown STEAL (1 STL)13
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q2 - 11:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 11:43NOHMISS West 13' Jump Shot13
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q2 - 12:0013
22
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL13
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot13
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALMISS Bass Dunk13
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)13
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALTerry OFF.Foul (P1)13
20
Q1 - 0:56.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMISS Bass Layup13
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 1:10NOHMarks Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 1:10NOHMarks OFF.Foul (P1)13
20
Q1 - 1:18NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 1:19DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot13
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 1:37DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 1:38NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 2:06DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)13
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 2:31NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 2:31DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Dampier10
19
Q1 - 2:31NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
19
Q1 - 2:31DALDampier S.FOUL (P2.T3)10
19
Q1 - 2:31NOHPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)10
19
Q1 - 2:48NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 2:49DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot10
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 2:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 2:58NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot10
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 3:08NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Dampier 8' Hook Shot10
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 3:26NOHWest 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)10
31.3%
17
68.7%
Q1 - 3:43NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 3:44DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 3:57DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki10
15
Q1 - 3:57NOHSUB: Marks FOR Ely10
15
Q1 - 3:57NOHPosey P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
15
Q1 - 4:10NOHEly Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)10
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 4:28NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Nowitzki Layup10
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 4:47NOHWest 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 4:53DALSUB: Terry FOR Wright10
11
Q1 - 4:53NOHSUB: Posey FOR Butler10
11
Q1 - 4:53DALWright P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
11
Q1 - 5:00NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot10
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 5:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 5:14DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot10
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 5:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 5:19DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot10
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 5:33DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 5:34DALMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot10
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 5:46DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 5:47NOHMISS Ely 11' Hook Shot10
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 6:11DALHoward 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)10
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 6:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 6:20DALMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:29DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
11
Q1 - 6:37NOHStojakovic 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)8
40.5%
11
59.5%
Q1 - 6:48NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
42.1%
9
57.9%
Q1 - 6:51DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot8
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 7:06DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 7:07NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.3%
9
56.7%
Q1 - 7:16NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
42.1%
9
57.9%
Q1 - 7:17DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot8
42.6%
9
57.4%
Q1 - 7:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 7:31NOHMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot8
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 7:41DALDampier P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
9
Q1 - 8:06DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)8
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 8:25NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)6
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 8:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:41DALMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot6
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:51NOHWest 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 9:09DALHoward 8' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 9:18NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:26DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 24
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 9:26DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 9:26NOHEly S.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 9:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:33NOHMISS West Layup3
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:40NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 9:41DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot3
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 9:57NOHPaul 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 10:08NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 10:09DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot3
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 10:27NOHMISS Stojakovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot3
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:57DALKidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)3
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 11:12NOHStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 11:26NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:29NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:44NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Ely vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.4%
NOH
1.31 65.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
25
52%
NOH
11
13
85%
Midrange
DAL
18
40
45%
NOH
22
40
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
NOH
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
DAL
12
13
92%
NOH
15
16
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2960%14.5 / 24
J. Howard1539%7.5 / 19
J. Terry1346%6.5 / 14
B. Bass1372%6.5 / 9
J. Kidd831%4.0 / 13
J. Barea867%4.0 / 6
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
A. Wright225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West3170%15.5 / 22
C. Paul3191%15.5 / 17
R. Butler1354%6.5 / 12
P. Stojakovic1146%5.5 / 12
J. Posey857%4.0 / 7
M. Ely450%2.0 / 4
A. Daniels250%1.0 / 2
D. Brown2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+17
-6
95
NOH
74
+4
-9
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.4%
NOH
1.31 65.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
108.6
DAL 109.5
NOH 122.9 +13.4
Pace
91.7
88.0
DAL 79.0
NOH 88.7 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.8
DAL 18.2
NOH 16.2 −2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.1%
DAL 46.0%
NOH 60.4% +14.4%
TO %
13.2%
13.3%
DAL 6.1% −4.1%
NOH 10.2%
ORB %
26.6%
24.6%
DAL 29.2% +22.3%
NOH 6.9%
FTrt
27.4
28.8
DAL 14.9
NOH 22.2 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.3%
DAL 56.8%
NOH 60.0% +3.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.2%
DAL 6.0% +2.4%
NOH 3.6%
BLK %
8.0%
7.2%
DAL 5.7% +4.2%
NOH 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
53.1%
DAL 48.4%
NOH 65.4% +17.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
58.6%
DAL 52.0%
NOH 84.6% +32.6%
Mid FG%
44.9%
42.5%
DAL 45.0%
NOH 55.0% +10.0%
3P %
35.0%
36.4%
DAL 27.3%
NOH 36.8% +9.5%
FT %
81.9%
80.7%
DAL 92.3%
NOH 93.8% +1.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
29.0%
DAL 28.7% +10.7%
NOH 18.1%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
47.0%
DAL 46.0% −9.6%
NOH 55.6%
3P Att. %
24.1%
24.0%
DAL 25.3%
NOH 26.4% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsDALNOH
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points92102
Rebounds4136
Assists2124
Steals53
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)2 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals37-8740-72
At-the-Rim FG13-2511-13
Midrange FG18-4022-40
2-Point FG31-6533-53
3-Point FG6-227-19
Free Throws12-1315-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
42.9
29
60%
14
3
1
0
0
1
1
13
3-3
100%
13-22
59%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 36
38.8
8
31%
4
6
1
2
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
2-7
29%
F · 6'7" 210 · 29
34.4
15
39%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
27.3
4
67%
12
1
0
1
0
3
4
8
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
33.8
13
46%
3
5
2
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-8
38%
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
23.5
13
72%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
19.5
8
67%
0
5
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
C · 7'0" 240 · 25
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23
G · 6'6" 212 · 29
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
48%
41
21
5
3
6
0
14
27
12-13
92%
31-65
48%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.