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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Spurs68%10195
29Kings32%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
38.3
33.0
25
50%
5
9
2
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
11-22
9-16
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
35.1
27.9
9
38%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-6
17%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
35.0
15.9
9
48%
13
1
0
0
3
1
8
5
1-1
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
34.1
31.2
22
57%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
48%
5-9
56%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
33.8
20.7
7
48%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
22.5
23.5
11
80%
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
21.8
23.5
9
35%
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
2
5-9
56%
2-9
5-10
22%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
14.0
17.1
3
80%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
5.4
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
61%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
4.7
0
1-1
43%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
4.4
0
1-2
53%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.0
39.6
35.2
24
62%
8
1
0
1
3
2
1
7
2-3
67%
8-14
5-11
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.4
36.9
29.1
11
37%
8
2
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
36.6
29.9
8
51%
11
1
0
1
1
1
6
5
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
32.9
36.2
12
50%
3
5
2
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
28.4
34.2
2
8%
4
6
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-11
4-9
9%
49%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
19.6
19.5
11
71%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
16.8
17.5
7
88%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
16.3
9.0
8
84%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
12.8
15.6
9
78%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
20.4
1
2-5
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.