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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies14%9175
2Lakers86%10692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
39.0
37.0
10
36%
5
0
0
1
2
4
1
4
0-2
0%
2-9
6-13
22%
47%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
36.3
36.0
6
24%
7
4
0
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
45%
1-7
14%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
35.2
37.0
20
71%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
4-4
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.2
31.9
28.2
14
55%
8
4
1
1
1
2
4
4
6-6
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
18.7
17.8
4
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.8
29.2
28.6
12
54%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-5
80%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
17.8
13.7
3
30%
2
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
15.8
8.0
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
11.8
3.9
4
60%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.9
4.4
8.8
2
53%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.6
13.0
0
1-2
45%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.0
4.9
0
0-1
41%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
32.1
35.0
12
42%
13
3
2
1
1
0
3
10
0-1
0%
6-14
7-13
43%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
29.2
33.5
16
81%
7
4
2
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-7
7-14
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.5
25.1
24.3
18
71%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
6-10
6-10
60%
60%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
23.5
22.0
12
67%
4
1
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-7
3-5
86%
55%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.7
18.0
22.7
4
22%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
27.8
30.9
8
40%
5
4
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
5-8
14%
55%
2-3
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
20.6
21.3
8
103%
6
4
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
18.8
17.7
9
51%
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
16.9
13.3
3
34%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
13.1
13.3
2
20%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
8.4
8.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
6.4
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.