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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors46%9997
25Wizards54%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
40.9
33.5
25
62%
15
5
2
1
2
4
5
10
10-12
83%
6-13
7-14
46%
51%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
39.2
35.2
25
52%
15
2
1
1
2
3
6
9
1-2
50%
12-23
6-10
52%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
36.7
30.9
4
25%
2
12
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
55%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
27.9
30.4
9
56%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
20.8
13.5
8
40%
1
1
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
20.2
9.3
9
40%
12
1
4
0
0
1
8
4
1-3
33%
4-10
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
19.6
16.0
6
30%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
2-7
29%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
15.6
17.1
9
65%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
9.4
10.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
5.8
12.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
3.9
3.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
29.3
0
4-9
48%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.1
37.6
36.3
28
64%
10
2
3
2
0
4
4
6
8-11
73%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
2-4
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
32.2
29.8
4
34%
9
3
1
1
1
3
1
8
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
30.6
32.6
23
61%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
9-12
6-12
75%
50%
1-6
17%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.4
29.9
28.1
5
51%
4
0
2
1
4
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.3
17.1
26.0
6
75%
2
2
1
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.5
30.9
19.5
6
33%
2
7
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
26.0
21.2
6
27%
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
50%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.2
20.4
14.7
8
59%
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
15.3
7.6
10
68%
7
0
1
0
2
1
3
4
2-3
67%
4-6
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
18.2
1
3-7
51%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
9.5
0
1-2
47%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.8
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.