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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls41%9591
13Pistons59%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
40.8
36.6
24
57%
5
8
0
1
1
2
1
4
6-9
67%
9-16
7-13
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
35.7
30.7
11
75%
13
4
0
1
1
0
2
11
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
34.7
34.7
7
32%
2
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
33.8
30.7
13
50%
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
1-2
50%
6-12
4-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
32.5
37.3
19
63%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
26.5
22.3
10
78%
2
3
0
1
1
6
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
24.0
24.4
2
17%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
12.0
8.8
5
40%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
7.0
0
1-1
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.4
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
37.8
33.2
19
65%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
6-8
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.2
37.4
32.3
25
58%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
9-17
6-13
53%
49%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
37.4
27.1
16
47%
7
9
1
1
0
1
1
6
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
36.5
29.7
7
27%
10
1
0
1
3
0
4
6
1-2
50%
3-12
5-9
25%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.6
33.0
28.0
11
39%
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
19.5
13.3
2
50%
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
13.8
15.0
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
10.7
22.4
3
22%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-6
4-9
17%
49%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
7.1
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
7.0
20.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.0
7.6
0
1-1
59%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.