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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic58%9780
22Bucks42%9498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.2
42.9
16.5
10
60%
18
2
1
0
1
3
7
11
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
56%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
35.5
31.5
17
50%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
7-7
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
49%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
33.9
17.0
6
24%
8
1
1
1
1
1
0
8
1-4
25%
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
1-6
17%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
31.5
22.5
13
42%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-6
50%
5-13
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.7
25.1
27.6
11
50%
4
4
4
1
0
1
1
3
6-7
86%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
24.7
2.7
4
14%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
0-1
22%
46%
0-5
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.5
20.1
18.0
7
34%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.1
17.6
2.8
10
73%
9
1
0
0
1
1
6
3
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
8.6
7.2
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.1
33.7
1
4-8
48%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
32.8
1
6-11
59%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
12.9
0
1-2
46%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.2
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
37.4
27.3
19
58%
8
7
0
1
0
3
2
6
11-12
92%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.8
35.3
34.3
24
69%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-9
5-12
44%
47%
5-8
63%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
23.0
21.4
2
25%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
22.1
26.7
4
40%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
17.8
20.8
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-4
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
29.0
16.6
11
45%
4
4
2
0
2
0
0
4
3-5
60%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
19.7
26.8
18
65%
7
0
0
1
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.1
17.3
6.2
4
67%
8
0
0
0
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
15.2
8.1
9
101%
5
2
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
12.7
16.8
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.6
10.6
5.9
3
50%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.2
29.5
1
3-7
43%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.