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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder15%8983
3Trail Blazers85%103113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
38.7
29.0
15
38%
3
7
3
1
0
2
1
2
6-8
75%
3-12
4-10
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
31.9
34.0
10
33%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
30.4
34.0
6
43%
4
0
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
20.8
22.9
11
51%
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
20.4
25.2
4
40%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
25.7
15.7
16
71%
6
5
0
0
0
5
1
5
3-3
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
20.1
21.3
8
50%
5
2
2
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.6
19.0
21.3
6
63%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
17.6
18.8
5
36%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.4
15.3
8.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.4
13.3
0
1-4
38%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.7
6.2
0
0-1
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.3
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.6
32.5
23.3
21
67%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
9-12
4-7
75%
49%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
27.1
38.0
5
28%
8
2
1
1
1
3
2
6
1-2
50%
2-8
8-16
25%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
24.9
33.7
7
39%
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
22.3
35.4
20
82%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
6-8
7-13
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.5
21.5
25.5
5
30%
12
0
0
0
1
2
3
9
1-1
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
60%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
30.0
24.1
14
84%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
23.1
12.5
8
68%
2
8
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
20.9
4.6
11
61%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-1
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
20.2
19.5
16
67%
9
0
0
0
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
58%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
11.2
3.4
2
17%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-5
0-1
20%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
6.4
2.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.3
17.9
1
2-3
55%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.4
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.