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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Spurs49%100101
19Warriors51%10172
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
27.5
34.5
17
56%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-5
60%
7-12
9-18
58%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
22.7
28.6
16
47%
13
4
0
1
0
1
5
8
4-7
57%
6-14
7-13
43%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
19.3
30.3
0
0%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
18.8
31.7
14
88%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
14.5
25.6
8
44%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
2-5
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
30.0
16.3
3
38%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
27.2
23.0
2
15%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
22.4
22.7
20
64%
15
0
0
1
0
2
5
10
6-8
75%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
18.3
6.8
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
59%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
16.7
4.8
13
67%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
12.0
4.4
4
41%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
10.8
23.1
2
100%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
44.7
28.6
24
59%
16
4
4
1
1
2
2
14
4-5
80%
10-18
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
44.5
35.2
18
50%
5
1
0
2
1
0
0
5
4-7
57%
7-14
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
43.8
35.7
10
43%
8
3
1
1
1
2
2
6
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
41.6
39.3
9
21%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
1-1
100%
4-18
5-11
22%
49%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
22.9
27.0
2
14%
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
21.3
26.4
0
0%
7
1
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
4-6
0%
60%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
21.1
19.3
9
51%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
2-3
67%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
18.8
0
2-4
45%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.5
11.6
0
3-5
52%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
6.4
0
1-2
53%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
6.0
0
1-2
49%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.