FinalWin Prob.pScore
2231%89
79
1169%96
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.98581.7
ATL logo ATL
96.48487.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL79
0%
81
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIABlount 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)79
0%
81
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS West Free Throw 2 of 276
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot76
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Rebound76
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
21.1%
78
78.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot76
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Quinn 30' 3PT Jump Shot76
15.1%
78
84.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
22.9%
78
77.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAO. Hunter BLOCK (1 BLK)76
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
23.5%
78
76.5%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Blount 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 1:09MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
24.8%
78
75.2%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMISS Murray 3' Driving Layup76
21.8%
78
78.2%
Q4 - 1:26ATLHAWKS Rebound76
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 1:26MIAGardner BLOCK (1 BLK)76
19.2%
78
80.8%
Q4 - 1:48MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
27.5%
78
72.5%
Q4 - 1:50ATLMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot76
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q4 - 2:15MIABlount 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)76
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q4 - 2:24MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 2:26ATLMISS Murray 1' Driving Layup73
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 2:49MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 2:52ATLMISS West Running Dunk71
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 2:56MIAGardner STEAL (4 STL)71
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 3:08MIAHeat Rebound71
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup71
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 3:35ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot71
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 3:54ATLO. Hunter Layup (8 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)71
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMurray STEAL (2 STL)71
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 4:11ATLMurray Running Layup (15 PTS) (Gardner 1 AST)71
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q4 - 4:16MIAGardner STEAL (3 STL)71
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 4:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 271
20.9%
74
79.1%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q4 - 4:45ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 271
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q4 - 5:02ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q4 - 5:03ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q4 - 5:05ATLMISS Gardner 20' Jump Shot70
21.6%
73
78.4%
Q4 - 5:25MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)70
17.7%
73
82.3%
Q4 - 5:42ATLO. Hunter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)70
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWright 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)70
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q4 - 6:25MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS O. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 168
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWright 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)68
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
15.7%
71
84.3%
Q4 - 7:04ATLMISS Gardner 21' Jump Shot66
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q4 - 7:27MIACook 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)66
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q4 - 7:48ATLO. Hunter 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)64
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q4 - 8:09MIACook Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)64
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound64
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot64
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 8:36ATLMISS Gardner 2' Driving Layup64
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 8:42MIAO. Hunter STEAL (1 STL)64
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q4 - 8:57ATLJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)64
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 8:57ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q4 - 8:59ATLMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot64
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 9:22ATLHAWKS Rebound64
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q4 - 9:26MIAHeat Rebound64
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q4 - 9:28MIAJones BLOCK (3 BLK)64
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q4 - 9:51ATLWilliams 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)64
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q4 - 10:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
25.7%
67
74.3%
Q4 - 10:19ATLMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot64
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T11)64
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q4 - 11:00ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)64
25.7%
67
74.3%
Q4 - 11:20ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Cook 29' 3PT Jump Shot64
36.5%
64
63.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMISS Murray 11' Turnaround Jump Shot64
38.4%
64
61.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Beasley 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
36.5%
64
63.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAChalmers 10' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)62
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 262
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 1:01ATLJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)60
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q3 - 1:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
39.1%
59
60.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 1:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 1:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
44.2%
58
55.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)60
47.2%
57
52.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)60
52.0%
57
48.0%
Q3 - 2:34ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 2:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
47.3%
57
52.7%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup60
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
50.6%
57
49.4%
Q3 - 3:03ATLMISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 3:33MIADiawara 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)60
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q3 - 3:50ATLHorford 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)58
41.8%
57
58.2%
Q3 - 4:05ATLHAWKS Rebound58
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
46.5%
55
53.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
50.1%
55
49.9%
Q3 - 4:24ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMagloire Dunk (6 PTS) (Diawara 3 AST)58
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q3 - 5:16ATLJohnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)56
40.4%
55
59.6%
Q3 - 5:19ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
48.1%
52
51.9%
Q3 - 5:21ATLMISS Horford 14' Turnaround Jump Shot56
51.4%
52
48.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q3 - 6:02ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)54
43.4%
52
56.6%
Q3 - 6:34MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
47.2%
50
52.8%
Q3 - 6:48ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T9)52
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIABeasley 6' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)52
39.3%
50
60.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
35.0%
50
65.0%
Q3 - 7:14ATLMISS Horford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot50
33.9%
50
66.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIABeasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)50
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q3 - 7:47ATLSmith 5' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)47
25.3%
50
74.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMagloire 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q3 - 8:14MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot45
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q3 - 8:26MIAChalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)45
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q3 - 8:45ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q3 - 8:51ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Beasley 18' Fadeaway Jumper42
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q3 - 9:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)42
25.1%
45
74.9%
Q3 - 9:24MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)42
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q3 - 9:46ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)39
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q3 - 10:17ATLHorford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q3 - 10:31MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)36
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q3 - 10:41ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T9)34
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q3 - 11:16ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
18.1%
40
81.9%
Q3 - 11:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLHAWKS Rebound34
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot34
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMurray 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHeat Rebound34
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 1:16ATLMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot34
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 1:39ATLGardner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 1:52ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 234
30.9%
34
69.1%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 234
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJones BLOCK (2 BLK)34
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 2:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 2:08ATLMISS Gardner 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWright 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)34
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 2:42ATLO. Hunter Putback Layup (2 PTS)32
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 2:44ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS O. Hunter 4' Jump Shot32
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 2:58ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Diawara 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.7%
32
69.3%
Q2 - 3:29ATLGardner 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O. Hunter 1 AST)32
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 3:46ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
34.8%
30
65.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot32
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
37.5%
30
62.5%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 232
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 4:26ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot32
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound32
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 4:46ATLMISS West 3' Jump Shot32
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 4:48ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Diawara 7' Turnaround Jump Shot32
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 5:16ATLMurray 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)32
39.9%
29
60.1%
Q2 - 5:28ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
43.7%
27
56.3%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q2 - 5:40ATLMISS O. Hunter 9' Jump Shot32
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 6:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q2 - 6:04MIAAnthony Putback Layup (3 PTS)32
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Quinn 2' Driving Layup30
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot30
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 6:32ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot30
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 7:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMISS Murray 9' Running Jump Shot30
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot30
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 8:00ATLMurray 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 8:21ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 8:31ATLMISS Gardner 3' Driving Layup30
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q2 - 8:41ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Quinn 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q2 - 9:01ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)30
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)30
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q2 - 9:18ATLGardner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
51.1%
22
48.9%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Gardner Free Throw 1 of 230
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIAGardner STEAL (2 STL)30
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 230
53.4%
21
46.6%
Q2 - 9:34ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q2 - 9:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)30
53.8%
20
46.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Gardner 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.1%
20
52.9%
Q2 - 10:23MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)27
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q2 - 10:44ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)24
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAGardner STEAL (1 STL)24
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q2 - 10:58ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q2 - 10:59ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q2 - 11:02ATLMISS Murray 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q2 - 11:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 224
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q2 - 11:27ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)23
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)21
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIABeasley Putback Dunk (12 PTS)21
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Quinn 2' Driving Layup19
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLMorris 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIACook 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)19
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)17
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Beasley 28' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)17
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot17
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 217
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 217
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 1:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)17
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 1:35ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 1:35ATLMISS Murray Tip Shot17
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Murray 8' Running Jump Shot17
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 1:52MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 1:52MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 1:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)15
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 2:02ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 215
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 2:20MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)15
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 2:37ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 2:39ATLHAWKS Rebound12
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Murray 3' Layup12
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)12
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHeat Rebound12
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Diawara 29' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 3:26ATLWilliams 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)12
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 4:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot12
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 4:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 4:11ATLMISS Claxton 2' Driving Layup12
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 4:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 4:19MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)12
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 4:38ATLMISS Horford 12' Turnaround Jump Shot12
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMagloire 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 5:17ATLMISS Murray 16' Running Jump Shot10
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 5:50ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)8
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 6:03ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Magloire 3' Turnaround Jump Shot8
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 6:34ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup8
20.7%
13
79.3%
Q1 - 6:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 6:41MIABeasley Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 6:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Beasley Tip Shot6
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup6
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 6:59ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)6
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)6
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.3%
11
81.7%
Q1 - 7:36ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot4
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 8:04ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)2
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 8:27ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 8:39MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.9%
9
83.1%
Q1 - 8:56ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 9:01ATLHAWKS Rebound2
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 9:02ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot2
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 9:06ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 9:33ATLWest Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 9:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
22.4%
5
77.6%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 9:55ATLSmith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 10:12ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot2
25.7%
3
74.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.8%
3
73.2%
Q1 - 10:24ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 22
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 10:24ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 10:35ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)2
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 11:03ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot0
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Magloire: Tip to West0
26.4%
0
73.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.4%
ATL
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
20
45%
ATL
10
22
45%
Midrange
MIA
13
25
52%
ATL
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
ATL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
8
14
57%
ATL
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2368%11.5 / 17
M. Chalmers1575%7.5 / 10
J. Jones1045%5.0 / 11
D. Cook729%3.5 / 12
D. Wright750%3.5 / 7
J. Magloire675%3.0 / 4
M. Blount660%3.0 / 5
J. Anthony350%1.5 / 3
Y. Diawara217%1.0 / 6
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Murray1735%8.5 / 24
M. Williams13108%6.5 / 6
J. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
A. Horford850%4.0 / 8
J. Smith880%4.0 / 5
O. Hunter867%4.0 / 6
M. Bibby550%2.5 / 5
S. Jones440%2.0 / 5
M. West338%1.5 / 4
T. Gardner319%1.5 / 8
R. Morris250%1.0 / 2
S. Claxton117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+18
-15
88
ATL
72
+11
-12
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.4%
ATL
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
109.2
MIA 92.9
ATL 96.4 +3.5
Pace
90.2
89.8
MIA 81.7
ATL 87.6 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 17.6
ATL 16.4 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.4%
MIA 45.5% +0.4%
ATL 45.1%
TO %
13.1%
13.6%
MIA 16.8%
ATL 12.7% +4.1%
ORB %
24.6%
26.0%
MIA 29.3% +7.9%
ATL 21.4%
FTrt
28.2
32.3
MIA 17.9
ATL 36.6 +18.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.1%
MIA 67.7% +7.7%
ATL 60.0%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
MIA 7.1%
ATL 10.7% +3.6%
BLK %
9.2%
7.4%
MIA 11.9% +0.8%
ATL 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.2%
MIA 44.4%
ATL 47.6% +3.2%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.5%
MIA 45.0%
ATL 45.5% +0.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.2%
MIA 52.0% +8.8%
ATL 43.2%
3P %
35.7%
36.6%
MIA 27.3%
ATL 33.3% +6.0%
FT %
75.4%
73.8%
MIA 57.1%
ATL 65.4% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
32.2%
MIA 25.6%
ATL 31.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
42.4%
MIA 32.1% +20.1%
ATL 52.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.3%
MIA 42.3% +25.4%
ATL 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points7981
Rebounds4538
Assists2118
Steals69
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals31-7830-71
At-the-Rim FG9-2010-22
Midrange FG13-2516-37
2-Point FG22-4526-59
3-Point FG9-334-12
Free Throws8-1417-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
35.0
7
29%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-7
14%
F · 6'7" 225 · 27
30.6
2
17%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.0
23
68%
13
2
0
2
4
4
5
8
4-4
100%
8-12
67%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
20.9
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
19.1
15
75%
0
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
28.9
0
0%
1
7
2
0
4
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
0-4
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
27.1
3
50%
9
2
1
4
1
2
3
6
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
24.0
7
50%
8
0
1
0
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
24.0
10
45%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
6.5
6
60%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
44%
45
21
6
7
15
0
12
33
8-14
57%
22-45
49%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.