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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets40%9584
3Mavericks60%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
39.0
31.6
9
67%
5
3
1
1
2
0
0
5
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.6
35.4
32.6
23
56%
9
2
1
0
2
4
2
7
1-1
100%
11-20
7-13
55%
53%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.4
34.6
31.0
10
35%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
4-8
4-10
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.0
22.4
30.1
5
28%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-8
5-10
25%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
19.4
25.0
7
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.1
30.1
22.3
15
57%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
6-7
86%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.6
27.6
20.5
8
57%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
57%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
21.0
22.5
7
34%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
9.6
10.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
1.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.8
9.6
0
1-1
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.3
9.0
0
0-1
54%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.9
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
41.1
36.6
30
59%
15
2
2
1
0
1
0
15
4-6
67%
13-23
8-17
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.1
40.6
34.0
11
79%
10
12
0
2
0
4
2
8
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
3-3
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
35.6
21.0
15
45%
3
0
1
1
2
2
1
2
7-8
88%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
25.7
22.5
4
22%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
18.0
28.7
2
100%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
35.4
32.0
23
68%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
3-6
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
24.6
19.3
6
44%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
11.8
4.3
4
86%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
6.7
25.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
0.5
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
3.7
0
1-1
45%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.