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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks46%9090
27Grizzlies54%9298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
42.6
31.7
29
54%
3
6
0
1
1
4
0
3
12-13
92%
7-17
4-9
41%
48%
1-4
25%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
37.3
28.9
21
64%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
6-9
2-3
67%
50%
3-7
43%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
29.9
24.8
3
32%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
23.0
13.4
4
29%
9
0
0
0
0
2
1
8
0-2
0%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
9.6
24.8
7
88%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
29.1
19.8
4
52%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
27.4
14.2
8
57%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
25.4
12.9
8
45%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
8.0
15.0
4
40%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
7.7
6.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
26.8
1
4-8
53%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
21.2
1
3-5
49%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
44.9
35.1
12
55%
5
7
3
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-3
33%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
41.9
36.1
26
63%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
8-8
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
38.1
36.7
20
68%
0
3
1
1
3
1
0
0
4-4
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.2
29.1
29.8
19
65%
8
3
0
1
1
1
1
7
5-6
83%
7-12
4-8
58%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
17.6
17.8
4
40%
10
0
0
1
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.8
29.6
29.3
15
53%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-5
20%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
22.9
15.6
0
0%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
10.3
10.3
1
13%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.9
5.7
7.8
1
28%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
7.4
0
1-2
49%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.6
7.1
0
0-1
47%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.0
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.