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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pistons61%9296
24Heat39%88102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
49.3
14.8
13
50%
3
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-11
1-2
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
41.5
15.9
17
51%
13
1
3
0
0
1
3
10
5-8
63%
6-13
1-3
46%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
35.2
30.2
15
50%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
7-7
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
9.4
34.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.6
9.4
29.3
3
150%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
48%
1-1
100%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
36.9
9.7
10
36%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
50%
0-7
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.2
33.2
15.7
16
57%
10
2
0
0
0
1
7
3
4-7
57%
6-11
2-3
55%
57%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
28.2
18.1
16
40%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
6-15
3-7
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.0
21.9
6.2
4
38%
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-3
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
58%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.2
33.5
1
6-13
48%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
31.5
1
5-9
51%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
31.0
25.2
6
38%
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
27.0
18.8
14
62%
9
1
0
0
1
0
5
4
2-3
67%
6-10
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
21.8
28.0
4
34%
2
10
0
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
21.1
24.5
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
19.0
29.8
22
58%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
8-16
6-12
50%
50%
2-3
67%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
37.2
22.7
13
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
37.2
17.3
4
67%
5
1
0
0
4
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
31.3
16.1
26
83%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-6
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
5-5
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
30.4
13.4
6
28%
10
2
0
0
0
2
0
10
0-2
0%
3-10
2-3
30%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
9.1
6.4
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
14.9
0
3-5
47%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
13.3
0
1-2
54%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.2
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.