for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 15, 2009
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Pistons
61%92
96
24
Heat
39%88
102
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
105.59188.4
MIA logo MIA
113.39076.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0DET96
0%
102
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Bynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.2%
100
99.8%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAQuinn 12' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)96
1.4%
100
98.6%
OT1 - 0:28.0DETBynum Foul Turnover (P1.T7)96
12.9%
98
87.1%
OT1 - 0:40.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)96
30.9%
98
69.1%
OT1 - 1:02DETBynum 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
65.7%
95
34.3%
OT1 - 1:27MIAMagloire Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)94
53.4%
95
46.6%
OT1 - 1:40MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
64.2%
93
35.8%
OT1 - 1:42DETMISS Brown Layup94
67.9%
93
32.1%
OT1 - 2:05MIAMagloire 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS)94
76.2%
93
23.8%
OT1 - 2:31DETBynum 9' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)94
81.4%
91
18.6%
OT1 - 2:42DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
76.8%
91
23.2%
OT1 - 2:43MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot92
72.7%
91
27.3%
OT1 - 3:04DETBynum 14' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)92
62.9%
91
37.1%
OT1 - 3:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)90
55.6%
91
44.4%
OT1 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
50.8%
91
49.2%
OT1 - 3:36MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
45.2%
91
54.8%
OT1 - 3:38DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot90
48.3%
91
51.7%
OT1 - 3:56DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
55.3%
91
44.7%
OT1 - 3:58MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 290
53.9%
91
46.1%
OT1 - 3:58MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 290
47.3%
91
52.7%
OT1 - 4:09DETBynum Reverse Layup (10 PTS)90
44.7%
91
55.3%
OT1 - 4:30MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)88
36.0%
91
64.0%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Brown: Tip to Magloire88
54.4%
88
45.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETBrown Layup (17 PTS)88
43.4%
88
56.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot86
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
21.1%
88
78.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 286
23.7%
87
76.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)86
18.0%
87
82.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 286
22.1%
87
77.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 286
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)86
48.1%
87
51.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Bynum Layup86
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
48.6%
87
51.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound86
82.7%
84
17.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)86
86.6%
84
13.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
89.4%
84
10.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
90.2%
83
9.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 285
91.5%
82
8.5%
Q4 - 1:10MIAQuinn 7' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 1:20DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
94.9%
80
5.1%
Q4 - 1:22DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)82
86.2%
80
13.8%
Q4 - 1:24DETMISS Afflalo 23' Jump Shot82
80.0%
80
20.0%
Q4 - 1:45MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
83.5%
80
16.5%
Q4 - 2:01DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)82
92.3%
77
7.7%
Q4 - 2:22DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
89.9%
77
10.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Quinn 15' Fadeaway Jumper80
87.8%
77
12.2%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
81.4%
77
18.6%
Q4 - 2:40DETMISS Bynum 12' Jump Shot80
84.6%
77
15.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)80
88.5%
77
11.5%
Q4 - 3:16DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T6)80
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 3:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)80
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot80
93.8%
74
6.2%
Q4 - 3:50DETBynum 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)80
92.3%
74
7.7%
Q4 - 3:55DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
89.5%
74
10.5%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup78
88.2%
74
11.8%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
85.1%
74
14.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot78
88.4%
74
11.6%
Q4 - 4:44DETAfflalo 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 4:49MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)76
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 5:11DETAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)76
70.6%
74
29.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAQuinn 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q4 - 5:49DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
63.2%
72
36.8%
Q4 - 5:49DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
60.2%
72
39.8%
Q4 - 5:51DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)71
55.4%
72
44.6%
Q4 - 5:53DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot71
49.2%
72
50.8%
Q4 - 6:05DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
56.7%
72
43.3%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q4 - 6:25DETMISS Bynum Layup71
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q4 - 6:39DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
56.6%
72
43.4%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Magloire Dunk71
54.2%
72
45.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
48.6%
72
51.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot71
54.2%
72
45.8%
Q4 - 7:05DETMaxiell Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)71
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q4 - 7:22DETPistons Rebound69
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot69
41.5%
72
58.5%
Q4 - 7:40DETDiawara STEAL (1 STL)69
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWright 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q4 - 8:26DETBrown Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)69
52.0%
70
48.0%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
45.2%
70
54.8%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q4 - 9:04DETHerrmann 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)67
53.0%
68
47.0%
Q4 - 9:19DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
46.7%
68
53.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 265
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q4 - 9:21MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
41.4%
68
58.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
46.9%
67
53.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot65
50.9%
67
49.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
46.9%
67
53.1%
Q4 - 9:49DETMISS Brown 10' Fadeaway Jumper65
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q4 - 10:11MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)65
53.5%
67
46.5%
Q4 - 10:26DETBrown 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
47.9%
67
52.1%
Q4 - 10:42DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
42.1%
67
57.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup63
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q4 - 11:05DETAfflalo Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
38.4%
67
61.6%
Q4 - 11:30MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T13)61
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q4 - 11:40DETMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot61
30.0%
67
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (15 PTS)61
28.7%
67
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
24.3%
67
75.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup59
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETMISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
22.3%
67
77.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
25.6%
67
74.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 259
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 1:07DETHerrmann Tip Shot (8 PTS)59
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 1:08DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 257
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 257
22.4%
66
77.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q3 - 1:44DETAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)57
20.8%
66
79.2%
Q3 - 1:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q3 - 1:56DETMISS Johnson Layup57
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAnthony Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
21.3%
66
78.7%
Q3 - 2:29DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot57
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 2:48MIACook 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)57
24.5%
66
75.5%
Q3 - 3:07DETAfflalo Layup (6 PTS)57
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 3:22MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 3:26DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup55
24.0%
64
76.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
26.4%
64
73.6%
Q3 - 3:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 3:58DETMISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 4:06DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
35.0%
62
65.0%
Q3 - 4:08DETAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)55
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 4:22MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)55
35.0%
62
65.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q3 - 4:32DETMISS Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 4:34DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
35.0%
62
65.0%
Q3 - 4:37DETMISS Herrmann Reverse Layup55
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
34.9%
62
65.1%
Q3 - 5:18DETBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)55
31.6%
62
68.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAAnthony 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
35.8%
62
64.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
39.2%
60
60.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot55
42.4%
60
57.6%
Q3 - 6:11DETAfflalo Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
40.5%
60
59.5%
Q3 - 6:17MIADiawara Putback Dunk (4 PTS)53
36.9%
60
63.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
40.5%
58
59.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot53
43.4%
58
56.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
43.4%
58
56.6%
Q3 - 6:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 6:56DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 253
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 6:56DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 6:57DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 6:59DETMISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot52
37.8%
58
62.2%
Q3 - 7:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q3 - 7:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q3 - 7:35DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (6 PTS)52
45.1%
56
54.9%
Q3 - 7:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
41.4%
56
58.6%
Q3 - 7:38DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot50
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIADiawara 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
41.4%
56
58.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
48.2%
54
51.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q3 - 8:07DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup50
46.6%
54
53.4%
Q3 - 8:22DETPistons Rebound50
49.4%
54
50.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot50
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 8:49DETBynum 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)50
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q3 - 9:09MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)48
42.5%
54
57.5%
Q3 - 9:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q3 - 9:34DETAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)48
50.9%
51
49.1%
Q3 - 9:44DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
53.5%
51
46.5%
Q3 - 9:47DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 248
50.2%
51
49.8%
Q3 - 9:47DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
51.9%
51
48.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)47
50.4%
51
49.6%
Q3 - 10:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q3 - 10:25DETAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)47
58.5%
48
41.5%
Q3 - 10:40MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)47
60.9%
48
39.1%
Q3 - 10:52DETStuckey 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)47
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q3 - 11:03MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)45
54.8%
48
45.2%
Q3 - 11:15DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
57.9%
46
42.1%
Q3 - 11:15DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
57.4%
46
42.6%
Q3 - 11:19DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
54.8%
46
45.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot43
53.6%
46
46.4%
Q3 - 11:38DETAfflalo Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)43
51.0%
46
49.0%
Q3 - 11:44MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)41
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
44.1%
46
55.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn 42' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)41
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
55.1%
43
44.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
51.4%
43
48.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETJohnson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)39
55.6%
41
44.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Johnson: Tip to Brown37
51.4%
41
48.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot37
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup37
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
51.4%
41
48.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot37
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 1:24DETJohnson 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)37
49.5%
41
50.5%
Q2 - 1:35DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.6%
41
55.4%
Q2 - 1:49DETAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
43.0%
41
57.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWright Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)35
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound35
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot35
50.6%
39
49.4%
Q2 - 2:33DETHerrmann Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 2:33DETHerrmann Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
52.1%
39
47.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
46.4%
39
53.6%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 233
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 3:16DETHerrmann Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)33
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 3:19DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
44.3%
38
55.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup31
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 3:39DETMISS Bynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.8%
38
58.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)31
44.8%
38
55.2%
Q2 - 4:21DETHerrmann 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 4:24DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
44.7%
36
55.3%
Q2 - 4:26DETMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot29
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 4:47MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)29
44.7%
36
55.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 5:06DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup29
43.6%
36
56.4%
Q2 - 5:09DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.7%
36
55.3%
Q2 - 5:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 5:23DETMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot29
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)29
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 5:49MIAHEAT Rebound29
51.5%
33
48.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup29
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 5:58MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
51.5%
33
48.5%
Q2 - 5:59DETMISS Herrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q2 - 6:08DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS Bynum 13' Jump Shot29
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q2 - 6:41DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 6:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 6:54DETMISS Bynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q2 - 7:09DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
55.1%
33
44.9%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot29
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 7:18MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
55.1%
33
44.9%
Q2 - 7:35DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 7:35DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 7:40DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
49.4%
33
50.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot27
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 7:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 7:59DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.3%
33
52.7%
Q2 - 8:20MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)27
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 8:32MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
47.2%
33
52.8%
Q2 - 8:33DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot27
48.0%
33
52.0%
Q2 - 8:56MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)27
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 9:10MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 9:12DETMISS Herrmann 18' Jump Shot27
56.2%
30
43.8%
Q2 - 9:20DETPistons Rebound27
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q2 - 9:21DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup27
56.2%
30
43.8%
Q2 - 9:31MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)27
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q2 - 9:55MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q2 - 9:57DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 127
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 9:58DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
60.7%
27
39.3%
Q2 - 10:00DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
58.9%
27
41.1%
Q2 - 10:10DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)25
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q2 - 10:25MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)24
58.3%
27
41.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
63.2%
24
36.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot24
64.9%
24
35.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIAHEAT Rebound24
63.2%
24
36.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot24
64.9%
24
35.1%
Q2 - 11:03DETMaxiell 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)24
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q2 - 11:24DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 11:25DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot22
59.0%
24
41.0%
Q2 - 11:41DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot22
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
60.5%
24
39.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot22
59.9%
24
40.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
59.9%
24
40.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETStuckey 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
58.6%
24
41.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIABeasley 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)20
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
58.6%
22
41.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot20
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q1 - 1:08DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot20
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q1 - 1:28DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q1 - 1:28DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 219
58.2%
22
41.8%
Q1 - 1:42MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 2:05DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 2:05DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 2:20DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot17
53.8%
22
46.2%
Q1 - 2:37DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
52.5%
22
47.5%
Q1 - 2:37DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMagloire 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)15
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
52.5%
20
47.5%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 3:11DETBrown Putback Dunk (8 PTS)15
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 3:13DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot13
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)13
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 3:46DETBrown 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
52.7%
18
47.3%
Q1 - 3:48DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q1 - 3:50DETMISS Brown 5' Hook Shot11
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMagloire Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)11
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
53.0%
16
47.0%
Q1 - 4:21DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot11
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)11
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
57.3%
14
42.7%
Q1 - 4:58DETMISS Stuckey 9' Running Hook Shot11
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIABeasley 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)11
59.5%
14
40.5%
Q1 - 5:28DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
61.3%
12
38.7%
Q1 - 5:28DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 5:58DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 6:19MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
63.7%
10
36.3%
Q1 - 6:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
65.6%
8
34.4%
Q1 - 6:27DETMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot9
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 6:45DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 19
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 7:10DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)9
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 7:36MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Brown 9' Fadeaway Jumper6
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 8:07MIAChalmers 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
65.9%
6
34.1%
Q1 - 8:25DETBrown 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)6
67.8%
4
32.2%
Q1 - 8:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 8:44MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot4
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot4
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 9:04DETBeasley STEAL (1 STL)4
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 9:24MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)4
66.3%
4
33.7%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Beasley 5' Turnaround Jump Shot4
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 9:49DETStuckey Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMagloire Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup2
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 10:23DETMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot2
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 10:33DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot2
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 10:54DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 11:11DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Cook 9' Running Jump Shot0
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 11:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.8%
0
35.2%
Q1 - 11:37DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot0
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Wallace: Tip to Stuckey0
66.3%
0
33.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
33
55%
MIA
8
17
47%
Midrange
DET
16
41
39%
MIA
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
MIA
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
22
31
71%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Brown1750%8.5 / 17
J. Maxiell1662%8.0 / 13
W. Bynum1640%8.0 / 20
R. Stuckey1550%7.5 / 15
A. Afflalo1350%6.5 / 13
W. Herrmann1038%5.0 / 13
A. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
R. Wallace3150%1.5 / 1
T. Prince250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Quinn2681%13.0 / 16
M. Beasley2258%11.0 / 19
J. Magloire1464%7.0 / 11
J. Jones1359%6.5 / 11
D. Cook638%3.0 / 8
D. Wright627%3.0 / 11
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
Y. Diawara440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
M. Blount350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
84
+18
-7
102
MIA
76
+18
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
107.6
DET 105.5
MIA 113.3 +7.8
Pace
87.3
90.2
DET 88.4 +12.0
MIA 76.4
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
16.3
DET 16.3 +2.6
MIA 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.0%
DET 42.5%
MIA 53.6% +11.1%
TO %
12.7%
13.1%
DET 6.5% +7.5%
MIA 14.0%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
DET 32.1%
MIA 35.7% +3.6%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
DET 35.6 +13.0
MIA 22.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
55.1%
DET 36.1%
MIA 51.3% +15.2%
STL %
6.8%
8.7%
DET 6.6% +4.4%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
7.3%
9.2%
DET 6.7%
MIA 6.8% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.6%
DET 46.6%
MIA 53.1% +6.5%
Rim FG%
58.7%
59.5%
DET 54.5% +7.4%
MIA 47.1%
Mid FG%
41.2%
41.8%
DET 39.0%
MIA 44.2% +5.2%
3P %
34.9%
35.7%
DET 15.4%
MIA 50.0% +34.6%
FT %
75.1%
75.4%
DET 71.0% +7.8%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
30.3%
DET 37.9% +17.7%
MIA 20.2%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
45.2%
DET 47.1% +4.1%
MIA 51.2%
3P Att. %
16.5%
24.5%
DET 14.9%
MIA 28.6% +13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes24.728.3
Points96102
Rebounds4451
Assists1320
Steals62
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)36 (3)
Field Goals36-8739-84
At-the-Rim FG18-338-17
Midrange FG16-4119-43
2-Point FG34-7427-60
3-Point FG2-1312-24
Free Throws22-3112-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
49.3
13
50%
3
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
41.5
17
50%
13
1
3
0
1
4
3
10
5-8
63%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
35.2
15
50%
2
5
0
0
3
1
1
1
7-7
100%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
9.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F · 6'11" 230 · 35
9.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
36.9
10
38%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-7
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
33.2
16
62%
10
2
0
0
1
3
7
3
4-7
57%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
28.2
16
40%
6
2
1
0
1
6
1
5
4-4
100%
6-15
40%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22
21.9
4
33%
2
0
0
3
0
2
0
2
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
Allen Iverson
#1 · G · 6'0" 165 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
96
47%
44
13
6
4
7
0
17
27
22-31
71%
34-74
46%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.