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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bobcats35%8873
15Magic65%9398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.4
41.6
30.7
9
40%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
5-5
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
42%
0-4
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.8
25.6
33.7
13
55%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
9-11
82%
2-5
5-11
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
25.6
32.2
3
32%
10
2
1
1
1
0
1
9
1-4
25%
1-3
4-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
25.6
30.8
7
44%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
17.2
3.2
12
51%
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4
2-4
50%
5-10
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dontell Jefferson
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
28.8
14.9
10
79%
5
4
2
0
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.2
19.2
16.6
4
27%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-7
1-3
29%
45%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.0
17.3
11.0
2
13%
8
1
0
0
2
1
2
6
0-1
0%
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
16.5
20.4
3
31%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
10.4
6.2
8
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
6.3
28.8
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
52%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
6.0
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.6
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
37.6
22.7
19
53%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-8
2-3
25%
51%
4-8
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
33.7
25.2
21
59%
9
3
2
0
0
2
2
7
3-4
75%
9-16
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
24.0
32.1
3
34%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.7
24.0
26.3
15
84%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
24.0
23.1
10
43%
12
2
1
1
3
1
3
9
2-4
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
59%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.2
32.3
25.4
11
53%
8
1
2
1
1
0
5
3
1-3
33%
5-9
3-6
56%
57%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
24.0
9.6
8
40%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.5
18.0
18.5
3
52%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
10.4
11.9
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.1
6.0
8.5
1
57%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.0
6.0
8.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
31.2
1
3-5
51%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.2
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.