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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hornets43%8998
9Spurs57%92105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
48.3
36.7
34
66%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
14-23
8-17
61%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
47.3
35.9
26
53%
7
14
2
2
0
1
0
7
6-8
75%
7-17
7-14
41%
51%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
41.7
32.2
4
25%
5
0
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
41.4
31.8
11
46%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
20.2
34.8
10
85%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
58%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.3
29.8
21.0
9
55%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-5
40%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
14.7
15.2
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
10.8
17.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.1
5.7
11.4
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
5.1
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.9
10.9
0
2-3
51%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
7.4
0
1-1
44%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.4
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
42.7
31.7
29
60%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
12-21
8-15
57%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
39.0
26.2
17
59%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
37.4
26.9
7
29%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
33.7
26.1
20
69%
19
6
0
0
1
4
3
16
6-8
75%
7-11
6-11
64%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
27.7
21.7
7
44%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-5
20%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
37.9
23.8
12
75%
5
0
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
17.4
18.6
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
15.3
22.0
11
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
10.4
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
3.5
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
10.3
0
1-2
59%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
7.3
0
1-2
42%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.