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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder39%95126
26Clippers61%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.6
33.0
20.3
6
51%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
32.2
32.6
26
67%
9
3
4
1
0
1
3
6
8-10
80%
6-12
6-13
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
30.3
31.7
14
55%
5
7
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
27.0
32.1
19
69%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
14.0
22.0
4
33%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
29.4
19.6
16
63%
4
14
1
1
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
6-9
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
25.2
21.0
17
61%
6
4
4
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
8-13
3-6
62%
55%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
24.3
18.4
15
55%
11
2
2
0
3
1
4
7
3-4
75%
6-12
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.2
18.2
23.3
2
50%
0
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.3
6.3
4.0
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.4
9.3
0
1-3
40%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.7
6.0
0
0-1
44%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.0
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.4
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.3
44.0
36.5
22
73%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
8-11
5-9
73%
51%
2-4
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.1
29.8
34.4
8
40%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.0
29.3
30.4
8
45%
3
5
1
2
1
6
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
28.1
21.2
8
51%
7
3
0
1
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.0
25.6
26.0
13
41%
6
0
1
0
2
3
1
5
1-4
25%
6-14
5-9
43%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.2
27.9
16.6
15
48%
2
2
4
1
0
6
0
2
5-6
83%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
19.9
15.6
3
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-5
20%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
17.9
17.7
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.2
17.4
10.7
6
60%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
18.0
0
2-5
48%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
15.0
0
3-7
49%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
4.7
0
1-1
43%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.