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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics43%97104
13Knicks57%100106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.8
41.3
35.3
31
64%
5
13
5
2
0
5
1
4
9-12
75%
11-18
5-10
61%
48%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.4
37.7
30.4
20
73%
4
3
0
1
0
4
3
1
4-4
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
37.0
27.4
15
48%
8
3
0
1
1
3
1
7
3-6
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
17.2
14.5
6
47%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
15.1
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
29.8
14.0
4
25%
6
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
27.6
23.9
20
72%
11
0
1
0
0
1
5
6
2-2
100%
9-13
3-7
69%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
14.1
15.4
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
11.4
16.8
4
72%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
8.8
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.8
0.1
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
13.7
0
1-3
47%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.2
36.8
26.8
7
63%
3
2
0
1
6
0
2
1
5-8
63%
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
35.1
25.3
19
48%
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-13
2-5
46%
45%
2-6
33%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
34.7
31.8
21
82%
6
2
2
1
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
6-9
7-14
67%
50%
2-2
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
33.9
27.8
7
50%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
33.6
32.1
37
78%
8
3
2
1
1
5
1
7
13-15
87%
6-10
6-13
60%
46%
4-7
57%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.5
22.0
17.1
11
36%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
3-12
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.2
14.7
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
12.5
12.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
9.1
9.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.4
7.7
5.5
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.6
19.7
1
1-1
42%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.2
9.5
0
1-2
48%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
6.9
0
0-1
48%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.