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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat45%98105
2Mavericks55%9994
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
36.3
37.4
37
68%
10
6
2
2
2
3
3
7
15-19
79%
11-19
6-11
58%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.9
34.6
35.9
26
55%
8
6
1
2
1
5
1
7
4-6
67%
11-21
7-14
52%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
25.6
18.3
6
69%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
24.3
23.9
3
104%
1
4
4
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
24.0
33.5
4
22%
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-9
6-12
22%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
32.3
14.5
9
55%
14
1
0
0
1
3
6
8
3-5
60%
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
23.7
13.4
7
41%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-1
0%
2-7
1-3
29%
43%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
18.4
16.3
9
70%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
3-5
60%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
7.9
3.9
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
4.0
22.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
2.9
9.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
2.9
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
2.9
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.6
29.3
24.9
12
60%
6
3
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.5
29.2
32.8
21
54%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
9-10
90%
6-15
7-14
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
27.6
29.6
9
71%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
20.7
21.8
5
36%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
13.6
13.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
28.8
26.3
23
61%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
4-10
40%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.4
24.6
16.1
10
60%
0
3
3
1
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.1
15.1
9.4
2
29%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.6
14.4
4.5
4
53%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.1
13.1
26.0
4
27%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
0-4
4-7
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
10.8
9.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
8.4
16.7
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
4.2
6.8
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.