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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Bulls43%9788
3Lakers57%10087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
38.2
36.8
21
49%
7
3
4
1
1
0
3
4
6-6
100%
6-15
4-9
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
35.3
37.1
22
85%
1
5
0
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
7-16
71%
47%
4-6
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.1
32.5
27.1
15
51%
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
5
1-4
25%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.8
28.4
29.9
6
25%
9
2
3
1
0
2
5
4
0-0
-
3-12
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.9
23.1
19.0
6
38%
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.8
24.9
21.4
6
47%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
19.6
11.8
3
28%
8
0
1
0
0
2
4
4
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
15.5
21.7
3
31%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
12.7
10.6
6
50%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.8
9.8
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.3
7.6
0
1-2
46%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.1
0.8
0
0-0
42%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
0.7
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
37.6
33.3
14
42%
8
3
0
1
3
1
2
6
2-6
33%
6-12
6-11
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.3
35.4
31.5
28
54%
7
6
2
1
0
8
0
7
6-7
86%
11-22
6-14
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.8
35.3
21.5
6
44%
8
2
0
1
2
2
3
5
0-2
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
23.4
22.5
2
20%
3
3
2
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
23.2
9.0
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.8
24.9
15.7
12
58%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
38%
2-6
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
24.8
27.0
4
33%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.6
22.7
10.7
7
60%
8
1
0
0
1
1
5
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.0
12.6
11.5
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
29.6
0
5-9
54%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
14.9
0
1-3
52%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
6.7
0
0-1
41%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
3.4
0
0-0
44%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.6
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.