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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic42%9789
5Thunder58%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.0
38.5
37.3
11
35%
15
0
1
1
2
3
4
11
3-8
38%
4-11
7-12
36%
57%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
33.6
25.1
25
72%
10
1
2
1
0
2
4
6
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
6-12
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
30.6
30.6
18
61%
1
6
0
1
0
4
1
0
4-4
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
29.4
29.4
8
40%
3
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
2-5
40%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
28.9
30.7
2
10%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
22.7
22.5
8
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
19.1
22.4
6
33%
5
0
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
17.4
8.2
0
0%
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.4
9.2
7.2
9
107%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.9
6.1
7.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
4.7
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
0.5
0
0-0
40%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.7
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
37.0
38.0
30
63%
5
6
2
1
0
4
1
4
6-11
55%
9-15
6-12
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
34.1
34.5
14
40%
7
6
3
2
0
7
1
6
1-1
100%
5-15
7-16
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
29.9
20.6
6
104%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
23.1
28.7
0
0%
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
20.9
22.1
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
2-2
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.3
32.0
29.8
19
58%
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
10-12
83%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
21.8
20.4
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
16.3
6.3
2
25%
7
0
0
0
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
13.9
17.7
8
80%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
11.0
9.8
6
60%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
2-4
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
10.5
0
1-2
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.1
4.4
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.0
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.