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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets53%10090
28Wizards47%9884
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
39.9
33.7
23
49%
8
9
1
1
1
4
3
5
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
4-12
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
38.8
25.3
21
67%
16
2
1
1
0
1
7
9
3-4
75%
9-14
4-8
64%
48%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
38.3
14.1
6
38%
14
0
0
1
1
1
3
11
2-2
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
25.4
14.2
11
62%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
25.1
26.3
16
55%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-7
29%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
20.4
12.7
0
0%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
18.4
11.7
7
38%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
10.8
19.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-3
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
8.6
11.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
8.1
16.7
6
43%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
6.0
23.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.7
0.2
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
11.5
0
1-3
47%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.7
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
39.2
33.9
13
35%
8
5
3
2
1
4
3
5
7-13
54%
3-13
5-11
23%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.3
38.7
28.5
11
40%
10
3
0
1
1
2
0
10
1-2
50%
5-13
6-13
38%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
27.9
20.4
15
60%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
44%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
25.5
27.7
11
40%
6
0
1
1
3
1
3
3
1-6
17%
5-11
4-8
45%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
24.9
25.1
9
42%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.9
22.3
11.8
2
100%
5
2
1
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
21.7
12.8
3
50%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
17.6
24.4
16
74%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
9.0
19.2
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
8.3
11.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
5.0
5.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.1
11.3
0
1-2
48%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
11.0
0
1-2
47%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.