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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks64%9895
30Bobcats36%9396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
37.6
20.5
13
47%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
37.5
32.0
17
54%
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
37.2
32.9
22
49%
3
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
5-15
4-9
33%
41%
3-6
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
26.7
24.9
2
25%
9
0
2
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
17.3
23.8
6
47%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
34.7
10.5
14
62%
4
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
22.7
30.3
13
47%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
13.8
12.5
4
41%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
11.3
10.1
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.6
1.3
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.3
26.9
1
1-3
43%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
8.0
0
1-1
50%
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.4
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
38.9
21.1
18
59%
9
0
0
1
1
4
4
5
3-3
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
38.7
14.9
12
39%
7
2
1
0
0
6
1
6
0-1
0%
6-13
2-5
46%
48%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.1
30.6
30.7
19
53%
2
8
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
5-8
4-9
63%
44%
2-8
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
30.0
28.8
9
50%
11
9
0
1
2
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
1-2
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
21.7
16.1
8
58%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.6
20.6
22.5
13
50%
7
3
1
1
0
0
2
5
7-7
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
40%
0-2
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
19.8
8.9
10
71%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
16.2
8.1
0
0%
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
9.1
10.1
5
43%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
8.4
13.8
2
53%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.3
6.1
20.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
18.8
1
3-7
46%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.5
13.6
0
1-3
42%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.