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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Rockets31%9795
7Magic69%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
38.0
27.7
19
48%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
8-18
6-12
44%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
36.5
33.3
20
61%
7
12
1
1
1
3
1
6
9-10
90%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.9
32.6
31.0
4
18%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
45%
0-6
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.6
20.4
25.9
3
28%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
19.8
13.1
6
100%
6
1
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
26.6
7.6
13
50%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
41%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
23.9
22.6
15
72%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
19.8
21.5
10
83%
5
0
2
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
11.5
18.7
5
63%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
6.5
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
4.3
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.9
13.9
0
1-3
41%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
7.9
0
1-2
44%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.0
37.1
37.5
21
61%
7
3
0
1
3
2
2
5
3-5
60%
9-15
7-12
60%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
35.3
29.4
23
82%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
7-10
2-5
70%
45%
3-4
75%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
32.8
29.2
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
49%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
30.4
30.6
2
17%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
27.6
30.2
8
44%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
2-8
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
28.3
23.0
20
80%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
3-4
75%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
21.1
20.4
13
51%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
17.6
15.6
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.4
8.4
8.3
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
1.4
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.9
7.2
0
1-2
46%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.