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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Thunder63%102104
25Timberwolves37%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
38.3
37.0
33
63%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
7-7
100%
10-18
6-13
56%
49%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
35.8
34.0
28
57%
6
6
3
2
0
7
2
4
8-8
100%
10-19
7-15
53%
44%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
26.9
26.4
4
41%
8
1
2
0
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
24.9
21.7
4
53%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
20.2
25.4
6
43%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.3
29.6
31.0
16
69%
6
3
0
1
0
3
2
4
5-6
83%
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
22.5
21.8
5
66%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
15.2
11.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
14.5
10.8
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
2-5
40%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
12.2
15.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
6.5
0
1-1
45%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
3.1
0
0-0
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.0
1.5
0
0-0
38%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.3
41.0
33.4
22
57%
12
5
1
1
0
3
5
7
9-12
75%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
36.5
27.8
24
42%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
11-24
5-12
46%
46%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
24.7
23.9
5
63%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.5
19.8
20.2
12
69%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
17.9
26.3
2
33%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
27.1
11.2
14
61%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
46%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
26.3
24.5
6
77%
5
6
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
23.8
26.0
13
44%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
19.6
21.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.4
3.3
9.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
9.5
0
1-2
42%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
6.6
0
1-2
50%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
5.6
0
1-1
44%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.