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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets39%99115
3Mavericks61%10393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.1
31.9
28.6
27
81%
4
4
3
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
51%
3-6
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
28.0
28.5
11
62%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
26.3
30.3
15
59%
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
23.4
30.4
8
50%
7
2
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-8
5-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.4
13.9
8.2
1
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.7
29.7
21.6
8
38%
4
2
3
1
0
2
1
3
3-6
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-7
14%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.8
27.3
26.3
18
92%
5
5
3
1
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-8
67%
45%
2-2
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
21.7
16.2
18
65%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
21.1
11.5
4
42%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.8
13.3
16.8
5
37%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
3.4
9.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.1
10.9
0
1-2
44%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.2
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.5
26.2
30.5
20
60%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
50%
0-2
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.4
25.4
21.5
2
20%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
24.2
28.0
12
67%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
4-8
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.6
23.2
27.5
2
20%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
21.6
13.7
7
52%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-4
25%
3-5
1-2
60%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.1
32.9
18.0
6
25%
7
0
0
0
1
2
0
7
4-5
80%
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-5
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
25.8
27.9
6
38%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
20.5
20.9
11
71%
1
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
14.7
11.5
10
85%
2
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-2
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
11.1
1.6
12
104%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-4
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
5.4
11.4
2
50%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.1
4.7
13.7
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
4.1
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.