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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hornets30%9785
15Suns70%10484
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
39.1
32.7
20
52%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
9-12
5-10
75%
48%
0-6
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
34.2
31.4
13
55%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-2
0%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
33.2
24.2
14
41%
7
1
2
1
0
0
3
4
2-5
40%
6-15
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
30.4
22.8
10
42%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-5
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
26.4
28.2
4
30%
9
0
0
1
2
1
1
8
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.9
26.6
10.8
10
60%
3
2
3
0
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
20.6
18.3
10
63%
5
0
1
0
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
15.7
10.2
4
52%
2
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
11.3
20.2
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
2.4
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
19.0
1
3-6
45%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
6.7
0
1-2
46%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.7
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
35.1
28.0
9
37%
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
29.7
28.7
14
64%
0
12
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
23.1
30.2
3
23%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.2
22.6
21.1
6
30%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
21.1
26.6
13
63%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-3
33%
6-9
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.7
26.9
16.9
21
72%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
8-12
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.3
24.9
17.2
7
60%
9
2
2
0
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
20.4
18.1
2
13%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.5
17.8
12.6
7
58%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
11.3
8.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.5
7.1
11.8
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
13.0
0
2-4
50%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 25.2
5.1
0
1-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.