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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks52%97106
20Nets48%9670
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
26.3
31.6
11
46%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
24.4
34.8
8
67%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
6-11
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.5
24.2
18.9
13
93%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
3-4
75%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.5
22.0
24.3
14
58%
9
3
2
1
0
1
4
5
6-7
86%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
16.6
33.8
5
32%
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-6
6-12
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
27.3
12.7
17
79%
3
5
4
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
23.8
5.3
6
50%
3
3
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
39%
2-3
67%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
21.8
15.1
5
24%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-1
0%
1-8
2-4
13%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
21.3
17.4
13
70%
11
1
0
1
0
3
8
3
3-3
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
19.6
18.7
12
55%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
6.5
11.8
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.1
6.5
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
7.9
0
0-1
43%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
25.0
28.0
11
56%
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
24.8
36.0
10
42%
3
1
0
1
0
6
1
2
2-2
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
48%
2-3
67%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
23.6
27.2
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
15.4
21.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
12.8
25.9
3
30%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
1-3
33%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
27.7
11.6
17
55%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
7-8
88%
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
0-4
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
21.3
14.3
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
20.3
14.7
3
23%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
19.3
13.6
8
63%
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
17.3
10.1
7
74%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.7
12.4
5.4
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-4
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
12.2
12.9
3
38%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
7.8
6.4
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.7
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.