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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics32%92107
1Heat68%98115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.8
44.1
38.3
22
55%
8
12
0
2
0
7
1
7
7-11
64%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.4
40.2
34.2
28
96%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
6-8
75%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
32.6
32.8
12
50%
5
2
3
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-12
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
21.9
15.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
13.2
11.7
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
32.5
25.8
13
53%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-5
60%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
23.7
13.3
18
77%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
4-6
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
18.9
15.9
9
53%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
9.1
14.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
3.9
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
6.7
0
1-2
45%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.8
4.6
0
0-1
41%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
37.1
27.2
18
71%
11
1
0
1
1
3
1
10
1-4
25%
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.9
36.1
34.5
24
62%
1
8
2
1
4
3
0
1
8-10
80%
8-15
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
36.0
35.7
26
72%
6
5
2
1
1
3
1
5
8-9
89%
9-14
6-12
64%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
20.4
22.9
4
100%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
18.9
24.0
4
106%
2
3
5
1
0
6
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
31.3
26.1
4
20%
12
0
0
0
0
0
2
10
2-2
100%
1-9
3-6
11%
48%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
29.1
19.8
20
54%
4
4
3
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
8-13
2-4
62%
43%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
17.3
11.1
4
69%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
7.5
17.1
9
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
3-3
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
6.3
6.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.