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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings21%9579
10Trail Blazers79%105101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
35.4
32.0
14
42%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
4-10
4-10
40%
46%
1-5
20%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
29.2
33.9
4
25%
2
3
0
1
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
5-12
33%
44%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
27.0
26.0
16
40%
11
0
0
1
2
4
4
7
2-5
40%
7-18
4-10
39%
43%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.5
26.4
27.4
4
40%
11
0
0
1
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.0
19.6
28.7
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
43%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
28.4
23.3
10
68%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-3
67%
4-6
4-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.8
24.1
24.3
10
48%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-6
60%
40%
1-5
20%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
24.0
15.8
2
16%
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.4
14.0
10.8
11
80%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
11.9
10.5
6
39%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-4
1-2
0%
37%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
9.0
0
1-2
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.8
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
36.0
31.8
25
84%
8
5
0
1
2
1
1
7
8-9
89%
7-8
4-8
88%
51%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
33.3
39.3
24
68%
8
0
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-6
67%
10-15
9-19
67%
50%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
26.4
32.5
5
30%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
23.9
24.9
2
21%
9
5
1
1
2
3
3
6
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
22.4
36.2
8
29%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-5
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
28.8
24.5
15
51%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
6-6
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
25.2
22.1
6
25%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.2
17.6
11.0
6
75%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.4
8.2
3.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.1
7.9
5.2
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
6.7
7.0
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
1.9
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
1.9
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.9
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.