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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz27%9471
8Lakers73%10396
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.8
25.4
27.9
5
42%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
25.2
20.5
6
43%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.0
24.8
32.6
4
13%
10
2
0
1
2
0
4
6
0-0
-
2-16
7-14
13%
48%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.8
23.9
15.0
7
41%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.5
18.6
23.5
8
57%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.9
27.1
32.0
18
51%
8
0
0
1
1
1
6
2
4-6
67%
7-14
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
23.7
8.9
10
51%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.5
20.7
12.2
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.6
20.5
23.0
5
29%
11
0
0
1
1
0
3
8
3-4
75%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
17.5
25.5
4
20%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.4
5.6
12.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.2
5.0
8.2
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.8
1.9
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
37.1
33.9
22
68%
9
0
2
1
5
3
2
7
10-12
83%
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.3
30.9
35.5
26
63%
8
5
1
1
1
3
0
8
7-8
88%
5-12
8-16
42%
49%
3-5
60%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
26.4
26.4
9
85%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
26.0
14.4
6
45%
3
0
2
0
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.8
20.2
25.9
6
36%
6
0
0
1
2
0
2
4
0-3
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
55%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
31.5
20.3
0
0%
11
4
0
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
27.4
27.0
14
63%
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
4-5
80%
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.8
19.7
20.8
8
44%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
2-5
40%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
17.1
2.6
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
1.9
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
1.9
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
10.5
0
1-2
54%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.