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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat72%10496
30Bobcats28%9695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
39.3
31.9
25
65%
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
4
9-14
64%
8-13
5-11
62%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
38.8
35.4
35
65%
6
7
3
1
2
2
0
6
9-9
100%
13-23
6-12
57%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.9
32.0
35.1
10
38%
1
4
1
2
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-13
7-14
38%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
31.3
21.7
15
58%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
18.7
21.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
29.1
29.1
4
41%
6
0
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
19.9
13.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
16.5
24.9
5
30%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
12.0
12.9
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
2.3
6.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
3.1
0
0-1
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
42.5
31.6
21
55%
4
4
2
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
9-18
5-11
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
38.6
29.1
16
57%
16
8
1
1
1
6
4
12
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-5
40%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
35.5
18.8
8
41%
11
1
0
0
3
0
4
7
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.1
32.8
30.1
20
78%
5
6
0
1
0
5
1
4
3-4
75%
4-5
4-8
80%
44%
3-6
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
29.8
29.1
6
26%
8
0
0
1
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
48%
0-3
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.6
20.1
21.1
14
71%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
2-6
71%
39%
1-2
50%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
13.3
10.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.3
12.6
11.5
2
53%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
9.4
13.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
5.5
9.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
10.2
0
2-4
45%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
10.0
0
1-1
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.5
6.7
0
1-2
42%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.